Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, August 16, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

The Cincinnati Reds (60-61) are hosting the Kansas City Royals (66-55) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael Lorenzen and Nick Martínez.

The Royals have accumulated 200 doubles as a squad and have hit 132 balls out of the park. Kansas City is slugging .416 and have been rung up 819 times, while taking a walk on 315 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are recording 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 10th in baseball. They have accumulated 561 RBI's and 1,028 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is .254. They have earned 577 runs while holding a team OBP of .311.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Royals pitchers have given up 117 home runs and also 493 runs in total (8th in baseball). Kansas City has allowed 992 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 458 earned runs. The Royals hold a team ERA of 3.88 for the year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 961 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 357 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a squad on the year.

The Royals have sent 373 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 170 runners over the course of the season and 27.6% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 29 saves this year and have blown 18 of 47 save chances. The Royals bullpen have earned a save percentage of 61.7% and has come into the game in 106 save situations. The relievers have tallied 58 holds so far this year (18th in the league). Royals relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 95 times in addition to having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Royals have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,573 innings on the diamond, ranking them 17th in professional baseball. The Kansas City Royals have a total of 3,191 putouts thus far, as well as 1,097 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which is 6th in the majors, and have accumulated 96 double plays.

Lorenzen has thrown 835 innings and has 685 punch outs in his MLB career. Lorenzen (45-44 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.02 while he has gone up against 3,536 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.08 (378 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.323. He has surrendered 764 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 340 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .230 for the year. They have struck out on 1,092 instances (7th in MLB) and have recorded 916 base hits. Cincinnati has compiled 146 HRs on the season and 514 runs batted in. The Reds have a team SLG% of .402 and they are scoring 4.49 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have hit 199 doubles, while taking a walk 363 times as well as notching 543 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.232 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a pitching staff this year. They are currently ranked 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 945. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 488 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.84 (455 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,036 strikeouts against 369 free passes). They have yielded 130 long balls and they relinquish 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

Sitting with 105 save situations, the Reds have 68 holds and 9 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 35 save opportunities and they have recorded 26 saves. Their relievers have come in 111 times in high leverage situations in addition to 104 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.9% of 165 inherited base runners. They sit at 1st in the league with a save rate of 74.3%, and they have dispatched 391 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 918 assists, 74 errors and are sitting with 3,200 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 9,600 innings on the diamond, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in baseball).

Martinez (33-43 career mark) has a 4.17 ERA while giving up 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.15 and he has gone up against 3,101 hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 335 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. During his MLB career, Martinez has allowed 733 base hits while he has earned 513 K's in 723 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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