Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals (84-74) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (86-71). The starting pitchers will be Seth Lugo and Max Fried.

The Royals have hit 260 doubles as a unit and have hit 167 baseballs out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging % of .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,121 times, while being walked on 417 occasions. As a squad, the Kansas City Royals are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 13th in baseball. They have amassed 700 runs batted in and 1,324 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is at .250. They have 723 runs while holding a team OBP of .308.

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The Royals have compiled a team ERA of 3.80 for the season (8th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,307 batters. Royals pitchers have given up 142 home runs and also 633 runs in total (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 461 batters and their FIP is 3.75 as a squad on the season. Kansas City has allowed 1,279 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 589 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25.

The Royals bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.9% and has entered the game in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 217 base runners over the course of the season and 28.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Royals bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 128 times and also have had 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have sent 493 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have racked up 73 holds for the season (25th in the league). They have earned 39 saves for the season and have blown 23 of 62 save opportunities.

The Royals have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,543 innings on the field, ranking them 19th in professional baseball. The Kansas City Royals have amassed 4,181 putouts this season, in addition to 1,387 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and have a total of 123 double plays.

Lugo (56-40 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.34 while he has faced 3,479 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 755 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 220 free passes. His ERA is 3.39 (318 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.154. Lugo has taken the ball for 845 innings and has racked up 826 K's in his pro baseball career.

Atlanta has accounted for 208 long balls so far this season as well as 659 runs batted in. They have tallied 267 two-baggers, while walking 466 times as well as notching 687 runs. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated a team OBP of .309 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this season. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .417 and they average 4.38 runs per game (15th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,417 instances (10th in baseball) and have a total of 1,298 base knocks.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.209 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.46 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.60 (1,499 strikeouts vs 439 free passes). They are sitting at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,252. They have given up 146 HR's and they give up 3.82 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 594 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.51 (546 earned runs given up).

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% of 149 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 143 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. With 122 save situations, the Braves have amassed 64 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They sit at 11th in baseball with a save percentage of 65.5%, and they have sent 464 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Atlanta has had relief pitchers take the mound in 58 save chances and they have walked away with 38 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 127 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,392 assists, 68 errors and have amassed 4,195 putouts on the campaign. In 12,585 innings played, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (24th in baseball).

Fried (72-36 career record) holds a 3.11 ERA and has conceded 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.50 and he has gone up against 3,584 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 302 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.171 and having a FIP of 3.1. So far in his career, Fried has allowed 780 base hits and he has 854 strikeouts in 875 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City

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