Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Houston Astros (43-42) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Thursday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (39-46). The pitchers expected to start will be Framber Valdez and Chris Bassitt.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which is 10th in the league. They have earned 397 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Astros have accrued 143 doubles as a squad and have hit 100 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 380 runs batted in as well as 769 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is at .263. Houston has a slugging rate of .422 and have struck out 581 times, while drawing a walk on 236 occasions.

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The Astros have an ERA of 4.07 this year (17th in MLB), and they have rung up 727 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 98 home runs in addition to 363 total runs (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 315 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.33 as a squad so far this year. Houston has surrendered 667 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 341 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 46 times in addition to having 76 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 46 holds on the year (14th in the league). The Astros bullpen have earned a save percentage of 58.1% and has entered the game in 77 save situations. They have recorded 18 saves for the season and have blown 13 of 31 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 66 runners for the season with 25.8% of those runners crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 269 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Astros have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,789 innings, which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have 2,263 putouts so far this season, as well as 719 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them sitting 2nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 65 double plays.

Valdez (59-39 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.43 while facing 3,331 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 682 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 295 walks. His ERA is 3.48 (308 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.226. Valdez has taken the hill for 797 innings and has totaled 765 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .376 and they are earning 4.04 runs per outing (23rd in the league). They have put up 142 two-baggers, while getting a free base 287 times and notching 343 runs. Toronto has accounted for 78 home runs this season to go along with 324 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 620 occasions (26th in baseball) and have 656 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have an on-base percentage of .312 in addition to a batting average of .235 on the campaign.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.288 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.47 as a unit for the year. They come in at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 720. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 395 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.32 (358 earned runs allowed). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (675 strikeouts vs 241 free passes). They have given up 116 home runs and they concede 4.76 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 29 save chances and they have converted 19 saves. They rank 12th in baseball holding a save rate of 65.5%, and they have sent 286 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 56 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of their 119 inherited runners. With 81 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 50 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

In their 6,720 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 67 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (24th in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 736 assists, 50 errors and have 2,240 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Bassitt has given up 926 base hits while he has totaled 948 strikeouts in 1,034 innings pitched. He has surrendered 398 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.209 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and he has gone up against 4,334 hitters during his MLB career. Bassitt (69-48 career mark) is the owner of a 3.47 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto

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