Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, July 1, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (38-44) will play the Houston Astros (41-41) on Monday. The starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Yariel Rodriguez.

Houston is slugging .422 and have been rung up 551 times, while taking a walk on 223 occasions. They have recorded 353 runs batted in as well as 732 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .264. The Astros have accrued 135 doubles as a unit and have hit 95 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 369 runs scored and have an OBP of .322. As a unit, the Houston Astros are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which is 13th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.35 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Astros pitchers have surrendered 93 home runs in addition to 344 runs (12th in MLB). Houston has given up 641 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 324 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.07 over the course of the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 692 batters. They have walked 295 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.30 as a squad on the season.

Astros pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 43 times and also have had 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 43 holds for the season (15th in baseball). The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 71 save situations. They have 16 saves for the season and have blown 12 of 28 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 64 base runners for the season and 26.6% of them crossed home plate. The Astros have dispatched 254 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Astros have transformed 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of 6,456 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in the majors. The Houston Astros have notched a total of 2,152 putouts thus far, in addition to 693 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which is 4th in the majors, and have earned 64 double plays.

Brown has taken the ball for 256 innings and has totaled 289 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Brown (18-18 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.47 while he has gone up against 1,089 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.53 (129 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.343. He has given up 250 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 94 walks.

The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .374 and they score 4.01 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have recorded 131 doubles, while getting a free base 273 times and putting up 325 runs. Toronto has accumulated 74 long balls for the year to go along with 307 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 583 occasions (28th in MLB) and have accounted for 628 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .235 on the year.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.291 in addition to having a FIP of 4.49 as a pitching staff this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (638 strikeouts against 230 walks). They rank 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 687. They have given up 111 long balls and they allow 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 375 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.30 (339 earned runs yielded).

Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of 116 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 56 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 78 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 48 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 14th in baseball with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 273 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 28 save opportunities and they have recorded 18 saves.

In their 6,396 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have 703 assists, 48 errors and have earned a total of 2,132 putouts so far this year.

Rodriguez (0-2 career mark) has earned a 6.11 ERA and has conceded 11.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.55 and he has faced 81 batters in his career. He has surrendered 11 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.975 and a FIP of 6.0. During his pro baseball career, Rodriguez has allowed 21 base hits while accumulating 17 K's in 16 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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