Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/18/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-101) San Diego (-119)

The San Diego Padres (86-65) will play the Houston Astros (81-69) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The line on this contest has the Astros at -101 and the Padres are at -119. The over/under is O7.5. The starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Dylan Cease.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have notched a total of 691 runs scored and have an OBP of .322. The Astros have accrued 243 two-baggers as a team and have hit 176 balls out of the stadium. They have 658 runs batted in as well as 1,349 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .262. Houston is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,095 times, while being walked on 411 occasions.

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The Astros hold a team ERA of 3.71 this season (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,367 batters. Astros pitchers have allowed 169 home runs in addition to 599 runs (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 519 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a unit so far this season. Houston has surrendered 1,140 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 550 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Astros have sent 474 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 139 base runners on the season and 30.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 38 saves this year and have not converted 23 of their 61 save chances. The Astros relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.3% and stepped onto the hill in 147 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 85 holds so far this year (10th in MLB). Astros pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 93 times as well as having 139 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of 11,997 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 7th in baseball. The Houston Astros have accumulated 3,999 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,228 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 12th in MLB, and they have turned 124 double plays.

Valdez has taken the mound for 875 innings and is sitting with 856 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.31 (322 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.194. He has surrendered 728 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 317 walks. Valdez (67-40 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.26 while he has faced 3,627 opposing batters in the majors.

The San Diego Padres have a team on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a batting average of .266 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 992 occasions (30th in baseball) and have earned 1,371 base hits. San Diego has accumulated 175 long balls over the course of the season as well as 686 runs batted in. The Padres have a SLG% of .420 and they tally 4.76 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have 236 two-baggers, while taking a walk 431 times as well as earning 719 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.230 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,359 strikeouts vs 432 bases on balls). They are sitting at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,218. They have given up 160 dingers and they surrender 4.24 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 632 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.92 (584 earned runs surrendered).

San Diego has called on relievers to enter the game in 61 save chances and they have earned 39 saves. They rank 14th in the league with a save percentage of 63.9%, and they have dispatched 502 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 135 times in high leverage situations and also on 149 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 227 inherited runners. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Padres have 73 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In their 12,072 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 109 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in pro baseball). The Padres have 1,199 assists, 68 errors and have accumulated 4,024 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Cease has surrendered 695 hits while he has earned 1,007 strikeouts in 834 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 350 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 and he has gone up against 3,531 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Cease (56-46 career mark) has a 3.78 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-119)

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