Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+106) San Diego (-126)

The Houston Astros (81-68) are traveling to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (85-65). The line on this contest has Houston at +106 and San Diego is priced at -126. The betting total is set at O7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Michael King.

The Astros have compiled 242 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 176 baseballs out of the stadium. Houston has a slugging rate of .419 and have been rung up 1,091 times, while being walked on 409 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are earning 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 12th in baseball. They have recorded 657 runs batted in in addition to 1,343 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .262. They have accumulated 690 runs and have an OBP of .322.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Astros pitchers have allowed 167 home runs and 596 runs (5th in the league). Houston has given up 1,127 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 547 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.72 this year (6th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,361 batters. They have walked 517 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.05 as a team over the course of the season.

The Astros relief pitchers have a save rate of 62.3% and has entered the game in 147 save situations. The relievers have inherited 137 runners this year and 30.7% of them crossed home plate. Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 91 times in addition to having 139 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 471 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have recorded 85 holds so far this season (10th in MLB). They have accumulated 38 saves on the campaign and have blown 23 of 61 chances to save the game.

The Houston Astros have amassed 3,975 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,216 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 12th in pro baseball, and have a total of 122 double plays. The Astros have transformed 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,925 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball.

Brown has pitched in 334 innings and has tallied 368 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.12 (153 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.311. He has conceded 320 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 118 free passes. Brown (24-21 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.06 while he has gone up against 1,410 hitters during his time in the majors.

San Diego has accounted for 173 HRs on the season as well as 683 runs batted in. They have 233 doubles, while taking a walk 429 times and putting up 716 runs. The San Diego Padres are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .265 for the year. The Padres hold a team slugging % of .418 and they are recording 4.77 runs per game (7th in the league). They have been rung up on 986 occasions (30th in baseball) and have totaled 1,358 base hits.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.233 with a FIP of 3.79 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (1,355 strikeouts vs 430 free passes). They are sitting at 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,212. They have relinquished 160 long balls and they allow 4.26 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 631 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.94 (583 earned runs conceded).

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 60 save opportunities and they have walked away with 38 saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.3%, and they have dispatched 499 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 134 times in high leverage situations and also on 149 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.2% out of their 227 inherited runners. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Padres have 71 holds and also 22 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 109 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,187 assists, 66 errors and have earned 3,997 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,991 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, King has given up 348 base hits while he has totaled 473 strikeouts in 408 innings pitched. King (25-26 mark in his career) has a 3.26 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 148 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.202 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 and he has faced 1,714 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-126)

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