Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+121) Philadelphia (-144)

The Philadelphia Phillies (77-54) are hosting the Houston Astros (70-61) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Houston at +121 while Philadelphia opens at -144. The over/under comes in at O9.0. The starting pitchers are Spencer Arrighetti and Taijuan Walker.

Houston is slugging .417 and have been rung up 954 times, while drawing a walk on 357 occasions. They have accrued 571 runs batted in as well as 1,168 base knocks on the year, while their batting average comes in at .260. The Astros have recorded 209 two-baggers as a team and have hit 156 baseballs out of the park. They have 597 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .320. As a unit, the Houston Astros are recording 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in the league.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.79 on the season (8th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,198 hitters. Astros pitchers have relinquished 149 long balls in addition to 525 runs in total (4th in baseball). They have walked 465 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.10 as a squad over the course of the season. Houston has given up 991 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 490 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 62.3% and has entered the game in 130 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 116 base runners for the season and 27.6% of them earned a run for their team. Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 78 times in addition to having 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 416 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have a total of 76 holds this season (11th in the league). They have recorded 33 saves on the season and have missed out on 20 of 53 save opportunities.

The Astros have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,476 innings, ranking them 7th in the majors. The Houston Astros have earned 3,492 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,058 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 11th in the majors, and they have turned 109 double plays.

Arrighetti has taken the ball for 116 frames and has 140 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Arrighetti (6-11 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.88 while he has gone up against 510 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.96 (64 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.420. He has surrendered 112 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 53 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a batting average of .259 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,094 occasions (18th in MLB) and have totaled 1,164 hits. Philadelphia has recorded 156 home runs on the season as well as 611 RBIs. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .422 and they tally 4.89 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have put up 226 two-baggers, while taking a walk 427 times as well as notching 641 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.204 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a squad on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,156 strikeouts vs 354 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 14th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,055. They have given up 140 homers and they relinquish 4.05 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 526 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.68 (479 earned runs yielded).

With 112 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 64 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 47 save chances and they have converted 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 140 times in high leverage situations in addition to 80 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.8% out of their 109 inherited runners. They rank 20th in MLB with a save rate of 61.7%, and they have sent 417 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

In 10,533 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 102 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 1,199 assists, 73 errors and have notched a total of 3,511 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Walker has conceded 1,046 hits and he has 997 strikeouts in 1,134 frames. Walker (72-61 career record) holds a 4.10 earned run average while surrendering 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 517 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.260 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and he has faced 4,791 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+121)

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