Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+143) Philadelphia (-174)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (76-54) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (70-60) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Houston at +143 while Philadelphia is coming in at -174. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Justin Verlander and Aaron Nola.

The Astros have recorded 208 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 156 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .419 and have struck out 946 times, while drawing a walk on 354 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 12th in the league. They have accrued 569 RBI's as well as 1,160 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .260. They are sitting with 595 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .321.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.80 on the year (9th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,186 hitters. Astros pitchers have allowed 148 home runs and also 522 runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 461 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.11 as a team on the campaign. Houston has allowed 982 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 488 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Astros pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 76 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 76 holds on the year (11th in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 62.3% and has entered the game in 130 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves over the course of the season and have blown 20 of 53 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 113 base runners on the season with 28.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 411 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Houston Astros are sitting with 3,465 putouts this season, as well as 1,049 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which ranks 9th in the majors, and have 107 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.9% of balls in play into outs in their 10,395 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 5th in MLB.

Verlander has taken the hill for 3,387 frames and has tallied 3,399 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.25 (1,224 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.120. He has surrendered 2,849 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 943 walks. Verlander (260-144 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.20 and he has gone up against 13,808 hitters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .259 for the year. They have struck out on 1,082 instances (19th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,155 base hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 155 HRs on the season and 608 runs batted in. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .422 and they tally 4.91 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have recorded 223 two-baggers, while taking a walk 423 times as well as racking up 638 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.205 in addition to having a FIP of 3.79 as a pitching staff so far this season. They come in at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,047. The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 524 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.70 (477 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (1,148 strikeouts vs 351 free passes). They have yielded 140 home runs and they give up 4.07 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.8% out of 109 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 136 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 112 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 64 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 61.7%, and they have sent 413 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Philadelphia has called on relievers to take the mound in 47 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 100 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,188 assists, 73 errors and have notched a total of 3,481 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 10,443 innings played, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Nola has conceded 1,381 hits while totaling 1,729 punch outs in 1,580 frames. Nola (101-77 career mark) has earned a 3.70 earned run average and has conceded 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 649 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.135 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.20 and he has faced 6,466 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+143)

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