Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
TV: Space City Home Network
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-126) New York (+108)
The Houston Astros (40-41) are headed to Citi Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (40-39). The odds on this game have the Astros at -126 while the Mets are at +108. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Shawn Dubin and Luis Severino.
Houston owns a slugging percentage of .422 and have been rung up 551 times, while being walked on 223 occasions. They have 353 RBI's in addition to 732 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .264. The Astros have earned 135 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 95 balls out of the park. They have earned 369 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in baseball.
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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31. Astros pitchers have relinquished 93 long balls in addition to 344 total runs (12th in the league). Houston has conceded 641 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 324 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 4.07 this season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 692 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 295 hitters and their FIP is 4.30 as a squad this season.
The Astros have dispatched 254 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 64 base runners this year with 26.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 16 saves for the season and have blown 12 of their 28 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 71 save situations. The relievers have tallied 43 holds on the season (15th in the league). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 43 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Astros have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,456 innings on the field, which has them sitting 10th in the majors. The Houston Astros have accumulated 2,152 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 693 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which ranks 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 64 double plays.
Dubin (1-1 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.99 while facing 144 hitters in the majors. He has given up 38 hits (11.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 14 free passes. His ERA is 6.08 (21 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.672. Dubin has pitched in 31 innings and has accumulated 36 strikeouts so far in his career.
The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .324 and a team batting average of .251 for the year. They have been rung up on 623 instances (25th in the league) and are sitting with 683 hits. New York has a total of 100 long balls on the season to go along with 366 RBIs. The Mets hold a slugging % of .417 and they have an average of 4.84 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have 141 doubles, while getting a free base 255 times and scoring 382 runs.
The Mets have a WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a unit for the year. They are sitting at 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 619. The New York pitching staff have yielded 366 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.06 (320 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (701 strikeouts against 307 bases on balls). They have allowed 75 HR's and they surrender 4.65 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).
New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves. They sit at 18th in MLB holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have sent 264 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 96 times in high leverage situations and on 82 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of 108 inherited base runners. Sitting with 85 save situations, the Mets have earned 54 holds and also 12 blown saves.
The New York Mets have turned 67 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 676 assists, 51 errors and have accumulated 2,128 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,384 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (16th in pro baseball).
In his pro baseball career, Severino has allowed 720 base knocks while he has tallied 859 punch outs in 817 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 339 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.182 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and he has gone up against 3,395 hitters in his career. Severino (59-39 record in his career) has a 3.73 earned run average and has given up 7.9 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+108)
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Additional Resources:
New York Mets - Twitter
Houston Astros - Twitter