Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-117) New York (+102)

The New York Mets (39-39) will compete against the Houston Astros (40-40) at Citi Field on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Houston at -117 while New York is priced at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Framber Valdez and Tylor Megill.

The Astros have compiled 131 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 94 baseballs out of the stadium. Houston has a slugging rate of .421 and have struck out 541 times, while drawing a walk on 219 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which is 12th in MLB. They have compiled 351 RBI's and 721 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .263. They have tallied 367 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.36 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Astros pitchers have allowed 90 home runs and 337 total runs (12th in baseball). Houston has allowed 632 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 320 earned runs. The Astros have a team ERA of 4.06 so far this year (17th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 685 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 290 batters and their FIP is 4.26 as a team on the year.

The Astros have sent 250 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 base runners for the year and 27.4% of them ended up scoring. They have 16 saves for the season and have blown 12 of 28 save chances. The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 71 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 43 holds on the season (14th in the league). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 42 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have a tally of 2,128 putouts on the campaign, as well as 688 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which ranks 4th in MLB, and have accumulated 64 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,384 innings on the field, which has them sitting 9th in pro baseball.

Valdez (59-39 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.38 and he has gone up against 3,305 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 672 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 292 free passes. His ERA is 3.43 (302 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.217. Valdez has taken the mound for 792 frames and has totaled 760 K's so far in his career.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .415 and they are scoring 4.81 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have recorded 139 doubles, while taking a walk 250 times as well as scoring 375 runs. New York has knocked in 97 home runs so far this season and 359 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 616 occasions (24th in MLB) and have earned a total of 674 base knocks. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a batting average of .250 on the year.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.300 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (691 strikeouts against 303 free passes). They sit at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 607. They have given up 74 HR's and they allow 4.68 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 364 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.09 (318 earned runs conceded).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.6% of 107 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 81 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 85 save situations, the Mets have earned 54 holds and 12 blown saves. They sit at 18th in MLB with a save rate of 61.3%, and they have sent 260 relievers onto the diamond for the year. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have walked away with 19 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 66 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 666 assists, 51 errors and have accumulated 2,101 putouts this year. Out of their 6,303 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Megill has conceded 307 hits while he has totaled 298 K's in 296 innings pitched. Megill (19-20 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.74 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 156 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.421 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has faced 1,296 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-117)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here