Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, June 28, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (39-39) will attempt to beat the Houston Astros (40-40) on Friday. The starting pitchers are Ronel Blanco and Jose Quintana.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 12th in the league. They have notched a total of 367 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .321. The Astros have compiled 131 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 94 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 351 RBI's and 721 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is at .263. Houston has a slugging rate of .421 and have struck out 541 times, while taking a walk on 219 occasions.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 4.06 on the year (18th in the league), and they have struck out 685 hitters. Astros pitchers have allowed 90 long balls and also 337 total runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 290 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.26 as a team over the course of the season. Houston has allowed 632 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 320 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Astros pitchers have come into the game with runners on 42 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 43 holds so far this season (14th in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 71 save situations. They have accumulated 16 saves this year and have missed out on 12 out of their 28 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 runners this season with 27.4% of those runners ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 250 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Houston Astros are sitting with 2,128 putouts this season, in addition to 688 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 64 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs in their 6,384 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in professional baseball.

Blanco (10-3 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.30 while he has faced 591 hitters in the majors. He has given up 105 base hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) with 66 walks. His ERA is 3.35 (53 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.202. Blanco has taken the ball for 142 innings and has earned 138 strikeouts in his MLB career.

New York has accumulated 97 home runs this season to go along with 359 runs batted in. They have 139 two-baggers, while walking 250 times as well as racking up 375 runs. The New York Mets have recorded an OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .250 so far this year. The Mets have a SLG% of .415 and they tally 4.81 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have been rung up on 616 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have accounted for 674 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.300 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a unit for the year. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 607. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 364 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.09 (318 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (691 strikeouts vs 303 free passes). They have surrendered 74 dingers and they concede 4.68 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.6% of 107 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 81 occasions with runners on base. With 85 save situations, the Mets have 54 holds and also 12 blown saves. They rank 18th in MLB holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 260 relievers onto the field this year. New York has had relievers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 19 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 666 assists, 51 errors and have notched a total of 2,101 putouts so far this year. In 6,303 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in professional baseball).

Quintana (95-98 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.78 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 and he has faced 7,877 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 788 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.282 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Quintana has allowed 1,851 hits while earning 1,650 strikeouts in 1,877 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston

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