Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024
Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
TV: Space City Home Network
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-102) Minnesota (-115)
The Minnesota Twins (49-39) are welcoming the Houston Astros (46-42) at Target Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Astros at -102 while the Twins are coming in at -115. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Spencer Arrighetti and Simeon Woods Richardson.
Houston has a slugging rate of .423 and have struck out 606 times, while taking a walk on 251 occasions. They have tallied 407 runs batted in in addition to 805 hits for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .265. The Astros have hit 150 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 103 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 424 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .326. As a unit, the Houston Astros are earning 4.8 runs/g, which is 9th in MLB.
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Their K/BB ratio is 2.31 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Astros pitchers have surrendered 100 home runs and 380 runs (13th in MLB). Houston has yielded 697 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 355 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 4.09 so far this year (18th in baseball), and they have rung up 750 hitters. They have walked 324 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.30 as a team so far this year.
Astros relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 49 times as well as having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 50 holds for the season (11th in baseball). The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 58.8% and has entered the game in 84 save situations. They have tallied 20 saves this season and have not converted 14 out of their 34 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 71 runners for the season with 29.6% of those players crossed the plate. The Astros have sent 282 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.
The Astros have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,032 innings on the field, which has them ranked 9th in MLB. The Houston Astros have a total of 2,344 putouts for the season, in addition to 754 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 2nd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 72 double plays.
Arrighetti has thrown 69 innings and has totaled 80 punch outs during his career. Arrighetti (4-7 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 6.04 while facing 318 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 6.13 (47 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.652. He has allowed 75 base knocks (9.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 39 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .253 so far this season. They have struck out on 699 occasions (21st in MLB) and have tallied 753 base knocks. Minnesota is sitting with 105 long balls on the year as well as 414 runs batted in. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .429 and they average 4.94 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have hit 180 doubles, while walking 260 times as well as putting up 435 runs.
The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 391 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.20 (363 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 108 long balls and they give up 4.52 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.195 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (798 strikeouts against 224 walks). They are currently ranked 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 706.
Sitting with 94 save situations, the Twins have accrued 55 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Minnesota has had relievers take the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have come away with 26 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 66 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 46.9% out of their 98 inherited runners. They rank 9th in the league with a save rate of 68.4%, and they have sent 277 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.
In 7,005 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 41 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in baseball). The Twins have recorded 663 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,335 putouts on the campaign.
So far in his pro baseball career, Woods Richardson has surrendered 70 base hits while he has accumulated 68 punch outs in 81 innings. He has allowed 35 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and he has gone up against 340 hitters so far in his MLB career. Woods Richardson (3-2 career mark) has earned a 3.88 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-115)
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Additional Resources:
Minnesota Twins - Twitter
Houston Astros - Twitter