Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, July 6, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Minnesota (-150)

The Houston Astros (45-42) are traveling to Target Field on Saturday where they will play the Minnesota Twins (49-38). The odds on this game have the Astros at +125 and the Twins are priced at -150. The over/under is 0. The expected starting pitchers will be Hunter Brown and Joe Ryan.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are notching 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 10th in the league. They have earned 411 runs scored while having a team OBP of .324. The Astros have recorded 148 doubles as a unit and have smacked 102 balls out of the park. They have 394 runs batted in in addition to 789 hits for the season, while their batting average is .264. Houston is slugging .422 and have struck out 597 times, while taking a walk on 246 occasions.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 4.00 on the year (16th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 741 hitters. Astros pitchers have conceded 98 home runs and 368 total runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 320 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.29 as a unit this year. Houston has relinquished 680 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 343 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 47 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 48 holds for the season (12th in the league). The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 57.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 81 save situations. They have tallied 19 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 33 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 67 runners this year with 26.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have dispatched 276 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Houston Astros have a tally of 2,317 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 743 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which puts them in 3rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 71 double plays. The Astros have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,951 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in professional baseball.

Brown has taken the hill for 262 frames and has tallied 294 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.43 (129 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.332. He has given up 252 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 97 free passes. Brown (19-18 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.36 while going up against 1,112 hitters in the major leagues.

The Minnesota Twins have an OBP of .321 and a batting average of .250 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 690 instances (21st in the league) and have earned 736 base knocks. Minnesota has accounted for 103 HRs for the year as well as 402 RBIs. The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .425 and they score 4.86 runs per outing (7th in the league). They have put up 175 two-baggers, while getting a free base 256 times as well as putting up 423 runs.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.182 and have a FIP of 3.91 as a squad this year. They are sitting at 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 690. The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 378 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.11 (351 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.20 (789 strikeouts vs 219 free passes). They have allowed 107 homers and they give up 4.42 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 38 save opportunities and they have tallied 26 saves. They are ranked 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.4%, and they have sent 274 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 65 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 45.8% of 96 inherited runners. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Twins have tallied 55 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 41 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in the majors). The Twins have recorded 658 assists, 39 errors and have accounted for 2,308 putouts during this campaign. In 6,924 innings played, the Twins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (11th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Ryan has surrendered 371 base hits while earning 488 K's in 438 frames. Ryan (31-24 career record) has earned a 3.86 ERA while giving up 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 188 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.077 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.83 and he has faced 1,786 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-150)

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