Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 4/10/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals (6-4) will try to beat the Houston Astros (4-7) at Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Seth Lugo.

The Astros have hit 16 two-baggers as a team and have hit 16 baseballs out of the park. Houston is slugging .429 and have been rung up 76 times, while being walked on 35 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 17th in MLB. They have tallied 44 RBI's and 97 base knocks on the year, while their batting average sits at .259. They have a total of 47 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .327.

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The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.99 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 84 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 8 long balls in addition to 46 runs in total (14th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 50 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.25 as a team on the year. Houston has conceded 88 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 43 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 1.68 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.42.

The Astros have sent 37 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 14 base runners this year and 21.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 1 save for the season and have not converted 4 of 5 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have earned a save rate of 20.0% and has come into the game in 9 save situations. The bullpen have 4 holds on the year (25th in MLB). Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 8 times and also have had 7 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have transformed 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 873 innings, which has them sitting 14th in baseball. The Houston Astros have earned 291 putouts thus far, as well as 103 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .992 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and have earned 12 double plays.

Brown has taken the mound for 183 frames and is sitting with 208 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.67 (95 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.377. He has given up 184 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 68 free passes. Brown (13-14 career record) holds a FIP of 4.15 and he has gone up against 784 hitters in the major leagues.

Kansas City has accounted for 14 home runs over the course of the season as well as 39 runs batted in. They have 16 doubles, while taking a walk 27 times and putting up 44 runs. The Kansas City Royals have an OBP of .303 and a batting average of .245 for the year. The Royals have a slugging percentage of .432 and they are recording 4.40 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have struck out on 79 instances (23rd in the league) and have 81 hits.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.067 in addition to having a FIP of 3.21 as a unit on the campaign. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (81 strikeouts vs 29 free passes). They rank 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 66. They have surrendered 4 home runs and they relinquish 2.53 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Kansas City pitching staff have yielded 25 runs this year while having a team ERA of 2.53 (25 earned runs relinquished).

Kansas City has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 6 save chances and they have come away with 4 saves. They are ranked 11th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 30 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and also on 6 occasions with base runners. Kansas City relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.0% of 10 inherited base runners. Sitting with 14 save situations, the Royals have recorded 8 holds and 2 blown saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 9 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in professional baseball). The Royals have accrued 96 assists, 5 errors and have accounted for 267 putouts this year. Out of their 801 innings played, the Royals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (5th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Lugo has conceded 589 base knocks while he has earned 655 K's in 653 frames. Lugo (41-31 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.44 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 250 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.170 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.72 and he has gone up against 2,700 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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