Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+108) Detroit (-126)

The Houston Astros (14-24) are headed to Comerica Park on Sunday where they will compete against the Detroit Tigers (19-19). The odds on this game have Houston at +108 while Detroit is sitting at -126. The total has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Justin Verlander and Jack Flaherty.

As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 15th in MLB. They have earned 167 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Astros have accrued 58 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 45 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 160 runs batted in in addition to 338 base knocks this year, and their batting average comes in at .257. Houston is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 246 times, while taking a walk on 120 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.93 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.47. Astros pitchers have conceded 44 home runs in addition to 195 runs in total (26th in the league). Houston has allowed 332 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 183 earned runs. The Astros have an earned run average of 4.92 over the course of the season (28th in MLB), and they have struck out 311 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 161 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.62 as a unit so far this season.

Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 28 times in addition to having 37 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 17 holds for the season (26th in MLB). The Astros bullpen have recorded a save rate of 38.5% and has entered the game in 30 save situations. They have accumulated 5 saves this year and have blown 8 of their 13 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 43 runners this year and 23.3% of those runners crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 128 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Astros have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,015 innings on the field, ranking them 25th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have a tally of 1,005 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 330 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 9th in baseball, and have a total of 38 double plays.

Verlander has taken the hill for 3,347 frames and has racked up 3,357 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.25 (1,208 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.120. He has conceded 2,814 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 935 walks. Verlander (258-142 career record) holds a FIP of 3.40 and he has faced 13,643 batters in the major leagues.

Detroit is sitting with 32 home runs this year to go along with 142 RBIs. They have notched 56 two-baggers, while getting a free base 120 times as well as scoring 151 runs. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .300 as well as a team batting average of .227 for the season. The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .360 and they score 3.97 runs per game (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 344 occasions (9th in baseball) and have recorded 289 hits.

The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.123 and have a FIP of 3.67 as a pitching staff this year. They have a ranking of 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 277. The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 148 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.31 (125 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (328 strikeouts against 105 free passes). They have allowed 36 HR's and they relinquish 3.92 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Tigers have earned 20 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Detroit has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 21 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 55 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with runners on. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of 53 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 26th in the league with a save percentage of 52.4%, and they have sent 115 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

In their 3,066 innings on the field, the Tigers hold a defensive efficiency of 72.0% (4th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 29 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in pro baseball). The Tigers have 316 assists, 24 errors and are sitting with 1,022 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Flaherty has given up 592 base knocks while he has earned 804 K's in 709 frames. Flaherty (42-36 career record) has a 3.75 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 296 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.201 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 2,960 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+108)

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