Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-126) Detroit (+108)

The Detroit Tigers (19-18) are hosting the Houston Astros (13-24) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at -126 while the Tigers are priced at +108. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Cristian Javier and Tarik Skubal.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are notching 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 16th in MLB. They have racked up 162 runs while holding a team OBP of .324. The Astros have accumulated 57 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 44 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 155 runs batted in in addition to 330 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .258. Houston is slugging .411 and have struck out 243 times, while drawing a walk on 116 occasions.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 5.00 on the year (28th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 302 batters. Astros pitchers have yielded 44 long balls and 193 runs in total (26th in the league). They have walked 158 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.70 as a unit for the year. Houston has given up 325 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 181 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 1.91 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.48.

Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 28 times in addition to having 37 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 16 holds on the season (27th in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have a save percentage of 33.3% and has entered the game in 28 save situations. They have earned 4 saves this season and have blown 8 of 12 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 43 base runners this year and 23.3% of them crossed home plate. The Astros have dispatched 126 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Astros have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,934 innings on the field, which has them sitting 25th in baseball. The Houston Astros have notched a total of 978 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 316 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 9th in the majors, and have earned 37 double plays.

Javier (35-21 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.63 while facing 2,091 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 462 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 167 free passes. His earned run average is 3.25 (181 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.255. Javier has taken the ball for 501 frames and has racked up 455 punch outs in his career.

Detroit has compiled 32 home runs over the course of the season as well as 140 RBIs. They have 53 two-baggers, while walking 117 times as well as putting up 149 runs. The Detroit Tigers have earned an OBP of .300 in addition to a team batting average of .227 for the year. The Tigers hold a team slugging percentage of .362 and they earn 4.03 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 335 occasions (9th in baseball) and have totaled 282 base hits.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.117 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a pitching staff for the season. They come in at 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 269. The Detroit pitching staff have given up 143 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.29 (121 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (325 strikeouts vs 101 walks). They have yielded 35 long balls and they concede 3.89 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have earned 11 saves. They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 111 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 52 times in high leverage situations and also on 37 occasions with runners on. Detroit bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.5% out of their 51 inherited runners. Sitting with 39 save situations, the Tigers have tallied 19 holds and 9 blown saves.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 27 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors). The Tigers have recorded 301 assists, 23 errors and are sitting with 995 putouts over the course of the season. In 2,985 innings on the field, the Tigers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (6th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Skubal has conceded 27 base knocks while totaling 52 K's in 41 innings. He has allowed a total of 12 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.780 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 10.40 and he has gone up against 154 hitters in his MLB career. Skubal (2-3 career win-loss record) has earned a 2.63 ERA while giving up 5.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+108)

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