Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

The Cleveland Guardians (92-67) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (86-73) at Progressive Field on Sunday. The pitchers expected to start will be Spencer Arrighetti and Pedro Avila.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 12th in MLB. They have 731 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. The Astros have accounted for 257 doubles as a unit and have knocked 188 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 695 runs batted in as well as 1,426 hits for the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .261. Houston is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,155 times, while taking a walk on 438 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Astros pitchers have given up 182 long balls and 644 runs in total (7th in the league). Houston has surrendered 1,226 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 590 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.76 on the season (7th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,460 batters. They have walked 538 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a team for the season.

Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 103 times and also have had 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 91 holds on the season (9th in the league). The Astros relievers have earned a save rate of 61.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 161 save situations. They have compiled 42 saves for the year and have blown 26 out of their 68 save chances. The relievers have inherited 154 base runners this year with 30.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 505 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Astros have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,726 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have accumulated 4,242 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,293 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which ranks 15th in MLB, and they have turned 128 double plays.

Arrighetti has thrown 142 frames and has earned 167 strikeouts during his career. Arrighetti (7-13 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.55 and he has gone up against 621 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.62 (73 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.414. He has allowed 139 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 62 free passes.

Cleveland has hit 184 home runs so far this year and 665 runs batted in. They have 241 two-baggers, while walking 460 times as well as earning 703 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have an OBP of .308 and a team batting average of .238 this year. The Guardians have a SLG% of .396 and they earn 4.42 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,177 instances (27th in MLB) and have earned 1,251 base hits.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.194 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (1,389 strikeouts vs 482 walks). They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,202. They have allowed 177 dingers and they yield 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 612 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.61 (565 earned runs yielded).

Cleveland has had relievers step onto the hill in 69 save opportunities and they have converted 53 saves. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB with a save rate of 76.8%, and they have sent 584 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 198 times in high leverage situations and also on 167 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.3% out of 232 inherited runners. With 193 save situations, the Guardians have 122 holds and also 16 blown saves.

In 12,690 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (3rd in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 128 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Guardians have accrued 1,362 assists, 85 errors and have earned 4,230 putouts on the campaign.

During his MLB career, Avila has conceded 126 hits while tallying 149 K's in 145 frames. He has conceded 57 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.325 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.26 and he has gone up against 627 opposing hitters during his career. Avila (8-4 career mark) has a 3.54 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston

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