Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, September 5, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Space City Home Network

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (66-73) will play the Houston Astros (75-63) on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Hunter Brown and Rhett Lowder.

The Astros have hit 221 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 164 baseballs out of the park. Houston has a slugging rate of .418 and have struck out 1,011 times, while drawing a walk on 374 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are earning 4.6 runs per outing, which is 13th in the league. They have accumulated 602 runs batted in and 1,230 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .260. They have earned 631 runs scored while having a team OBP of .320.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 3.71 this year (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,263 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 153 long balls and also 544 runs in total (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 486 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a team so far this year. Houston has given up 1,038 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 505 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 81 times in addition to having 127 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 80 holds for the year (10th in baseball). The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 61.4% and has come into the game in 138 save situations. They have compiled 35 saves on the year and have not converted 22 of their 57 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 121 runners for the year with 28.9% of them crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 433 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Houston Astros are sitting with 3,675 putouts for the season, as well as 1,116 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which puts them in 9th in professional baseball, and they have turned 113 double plays. The Astros have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,025 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in baseball.

Brown has taken the ball for 323 innings and has accounted for 355 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.12 (148 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.310. He has allowed 307 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 116 walks. Brown (24-20 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.06 and he has gone up against 1,361 batters in the major leagues.

The Cincinnati Reds have recorded a team on-base percentage of .307 as well as a team batting average of .233 for the season. They have struck out on 1,254 occasions (8th in baseball) and have 1,069 base hits. Cincinnati has a total of 160 home runs this year to go along with 590 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .399 and they earn 4.47 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have recorded 229 doubles, while taking a walk 427 times and putting up 621 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.260 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.26 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,182 strikeouts against 423 walks). They come in at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,124. They have surrendered 168 home runs and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 608 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.18 (570 earned runs yielded).

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have recorded 28 saves. They are ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 460 relievers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have taken the field 129 times in high leverage situations and on 124 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.5% of 193 inherited runners. Sitting with 117 save situations, the Reds have amassed 72 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 86 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Reds have accrued 1,064 assists, 90 errors and have a tally of 3,684 putouts for the season. Out of their 11,052 innings on the field, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (16th in professional baseball).

Lowder (0-1 career mark) holds a 2.25 ERA and has allowed 4.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.50 and he has faced 18 batters so far in his career. He has given up 1 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.500 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.2. In his MLB career, Lowder has allowed 2 hits while he has totaled 6 K's in 4 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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