Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (66-73) will attempt to beat the Houston Astros (75-63) on Wednesday. The expected starting pitchers will be Spencer Arrighetti and Nick Martínez.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 12th in the league. They have racked up 631 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .320. The Astros have hit 221 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 164 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 602 runs batted in and 1,230 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .260. Houston is slugging .418 and have struck out 1,011 times, while being walked on 374 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24. Astros pitchers have relinquished 153 long balls and also 544 total runs (4th in MLB). Houston has surrendered 1,038 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 505 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.71 for the year (5th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,263 hitters. They have walked 486 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a squad this season.

The Astros have dispatched 433 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 121 base runners on the campaign with 28.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 35 saves for the season and have blown 22 out of their 57 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have a save percentage of 61.4% and has come into the game in 138 save situations. The relievers have tallied 80 holds this year (10th in MLB). Astros pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 81 times in addition to having 127 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have transformed 70.9% of balls in play into outs in their 11,025 innings, which ranks them 6th in baseball. The Houston Astros have accounted for 3,675 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,116 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them sitting 9th in baseball, and they have turned 113 double plays.

Arrighetti has taken the mound for 124 innings and has 151 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.64 (64 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.378. He has given up 114 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 57 walks. Arrighetti (7-11 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.57 while he has faced 539 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Reds have a team SLG% of .399 and they are recording 4.47 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have put up 229 two-baggers, while walking 427 times and scoring 621 runs. Cincinnati has a total of 160 home runs for the season to go along with 590 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,254 occasions (8th in MLB) and have earned 1,069 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a team batting average of .233 on the campaign.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.260 and have a FIP of 4.26 as a squad on the year. They sit at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,124. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 608 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.18 (570 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (1,182 strikeouts against 423 walks). They have conceded 168 dingers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Cincinnati has called on relievers to enter the contest in 42 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves. They are ranked 10th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 460 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.5% out of 193 inherited runners. With 117 save situations, the Reds have compiled 72 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 86 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,064 assists, 90 errors and are sitting with 3,684 putouts on the campaign. In 11,052 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (16th in pro baseball).

In his career, Martinez has allowed 759 base knocks while he has earned 524 K's in 741 innings pitched. Martinez (33-44 career record) holds a 4.24 earned run average and has given up 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 349 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.352 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has faced 3,185 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston

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