Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Space City Home Network

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (61-52) will compete against the Houston Astros (59-55) on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and James Paxton.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB. They have 519 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .320. The Astros have compiled 189 doubles as a team and have knocked 128 balls out of the park. They have compiled 497 runs batted in in addition to 1,012 hits on the year, and their team batting average is at .259. Houston has a slugging rate of .413 and have struck out 810 times, while drawing a walk on 309 occasions.

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The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.97 for the year (13th in the league), and they have rung up 1,024 hitters. Astros pitchers have allowed 136 home runs in addition to 475 total runs (9th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 412 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a squad on the campaign. Houston has given up 891 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 446 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.49 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Astros relievers have recorded a save rate of 63.0% and stepped onto the hill in 112 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 93 base runners on the year and 28.0% of them crossed home plate. Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 63 times as well as having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 363 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have accumulated 65 holds so far this year (12th in the league). They have accumulated 29 saves for the season and have blown 17 of their 46 chances to save the game.

The Astros have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 9,108 innings, ranking them 9th in MLB. The Houston Astros have accounted for 3,036 putouts this season, in addition to 938 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 6th in pro baseball, and have a total of 95 double plays.

Brown (22-20 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.28 while he has gone up against 1,267 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 293 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 108 free passes. His earned run average is 4.35 (144 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.346. Brown has thrown 298 frames and is sitting with 330 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .445 and they are earning 4.98 runs per game (4th in the league). They have recorded 231 doubles, while walking 352 times and recording 563 runs. Boston has knocked in 144 HRs for the season and 541 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,084 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have tallied 1,036 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team on-base percentage of .329 and a team batting average of .262 so far this season.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 529 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.01 (453 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 134 homers and they surrender 4.69 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 4.03 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (973 strikeouts vs 308 walks). They come in at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 951.

Sitting with 107 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 57 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Boston has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 48 save opportunities and they have recorded 28 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 104 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.8% out of their 142 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league with a save rate of 58.3%, and they have dispatched 352 relievers to the mound this season.

In 9,147 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 973 assists, 85 errors and have accumulated 3,049 putouts for the season.

During his pro baseball career, Paxton has allowed 870 base knocks and he has 1,005 punch outs in 949 innings. He has allowed 398 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.247 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.20 and he has faced 3,975 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Paxton (73-41 career win-loss record) holds a 3.77 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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