Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, September 5, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+169) San Diego (-208)

The Detroit Tigers (70-69) are en route to Petco Park on Thursday where they will take on the San Diego Padres (79-61). The odds on this game have Detroit at +169 and San Diego is sitting at -208. The total is set at O8.0. The men taking the mound will be Casey Mize and Martin Perez.

Detroit has a slugging rate of .387 and have struck out 1,228 times, while being walked on 387 occasions. They have compiled 561 RBI's in addition to 1,086 hits so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .233. The Tigers have compiled 209 doubles as a team and have hit 143 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 582 runs and hold an OBP of .296. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.2 runs/g, which puts them at 22nd in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18. Tigers pitchers have allowed 138 home runs and also 568 runs in total (7th in baseball). Detroit has relinquished 1,098 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 513 earned runs. The Tigers have an ERA of 3.74 for the season (6th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,168 batters. They have walked 362 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.74 as a squad on the season.

The Tigers relievers have earned a save rate of 62.3% and has entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 206 base runners over the course of the season with 24.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 148 times and also have had 127 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 424 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have earned 61 holds on the campaign (25th in the league). They have recorded 33 saves for the season and have not converted 20 of their 53 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 3,705 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,184 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 16th in the majors, and have a total of 108 double plays. The Tigers have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,115 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 10th in pro baseball.

Mize has thrown 272 innings and has totaled 210 K's during his career. His ERA is 4.30 (130 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. He has given up 270 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 78 free passes. Mize (9-19 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.23 and he has faced 1,160 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres have compiled an OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .265 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 916 occasions (30th in the league) and have totaled 1,263 hits. San Diego has a total of 160 home runs so far this year to go along with 642 RBIs. The Padres hold a team SLG% of .417 and they average 4.76 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have hit 212 doubles, while getting a free base 399 times and putting up 667 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a pitching staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,146. The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 597 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.00 (552 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,260 strikeouts vs 403 walks). They have conceded 146 home runs and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the game in 56 save chances and they have recorded 36 saves. They are currently ranked 13th in the league with a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 462 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Their relievers have taken the field 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 140 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.2% of 215 inherited runners. Sitting with 122 save situations, the Padres have earned 64 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

Out of their 11,172 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in the majors). The San Diego Padres have gotten 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,105 assists, 64 errors and have a tally of 3,724 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Perez has conceded 1,693 base hits and he has 1,093 punch outs in 1,554 innings pitched. Perez (89-86 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.46 earned run average while allowing 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 770 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.451 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.95 and he has faced 6,758 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+169)

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