Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, April 1, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (74-87 last season) will attempt to defeat the Detroit Tigers (78-84 last year) on Monday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Reese Olson and Sean Manaea.

The Tigers earned 245 two-baggers as a squad and smacked 165 balls out of the park. Detroit had a slugging percentage of .382 and were called out on strikes 1,473 times, while drawing a walk on 508 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers recorded 4.1 runs per game, which had them at 28th in MLB. They compiled 635 runs batted in and 1,293 base knocks over the course of last season, while their average at the plate came in at .236. They earned a total of 661 runs and held an on-base percentage of .305.

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The Tigers had an ERA of 4.24 in the previous season (17th in the league), and the staff struck out 1,374 hitters. Tigers pitchers surrendered 187 long balls and also 740 runs in total (19th in MLB). They walked 476 players from the other team and their FIP finished at 4.13 as a team last year. Detroit gave up 1,320 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 680 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.89 and the pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Tigers relief pitchers had a save percentage of 65.1% and came into the game in 170 save situations. The relievers inherited 240 runners over the course of the prior season and 30.4% of those runners ended up scoring. Tigers pitchers went to the mound with runners on 169 times as well as having 162 outings in high leverage situations. The Tigers had dispatched 535 relievers to the hill for the previous season. The relievers accumulated 102 holds over the course of last season (6th in MLB). They accumulated 41 saves in the previous season and missed out on 22 of their 63 save chances.

The Detroit Tigers finished with 4,327 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,403 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding rate finished at .983 which was 27th in the majors, and earned 129 double plays. The Tigers transformed 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,981 innings on the field, which had them sitting at 8th in baseball.

Olson has taken the hill for 103 innings and has 103 strikeouts thus far in his career. Olson (5-7 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.01 and he has gone up against 422 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.99 (46 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. He has given up 83 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has 33 walks.

New York knocked in 215 home runs for the prior year in addition to 692 RBIs. They had 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 525 times as well as putting up 717 runs. The New York Mets tallied a team on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .238 for the prior year. The Mets held a team slugging percentage of .407 and they scored 4.43 runs per game (20th in the league). They struck out on 1,331 occasions (21st in the league) and had 1,275 base hits.

The Mets finished with a team WHIP of 1.362 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a squad over the course of last year. They had a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,398 strikeouts against 595 bases on balls). They had a ranking of 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,335. They gave up 190 homers and they allowed 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The New York pitching staff surrendered 731 runs last season while having an ERA of 4.31 (678 earned runs allowed).

With 140 save situations, the Mets earned 82 holds and also 19 blown saves. New York called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 53 save chances and they came away with 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers came in 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 157 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers held an inherited score percentage of 32.8% out of 235 inherited base runners. They ranked 13th in MLB with a save rate of 64.2%, and they dispatched 526 relievers to the mound last year.

In 12,753 innings on the diamond, the Mets had a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in professional baseball). The New York Mets had 142 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Mets had 1,394 assists, 88 errors and a tally of 4,251 putouts in the prior season.

During his pro baseball career, Manaea has given up 954 hits while he has accumulated 925 strikeouts in 1,002 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 457 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.223 and having a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.40 and he has gone up against 4,195 opposing batters so far in his career. Manaea (65-56 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.10 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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