Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+106) Minnesota (-125)

The Detroit Tigers (10-9) are on their way to Target Field on Sunday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (6-11). The odds on this game have the Tigers at +106 while the Twins are coming in at -125. The total comes in at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Casey Mize and Louie Varland.

The Tigers have accumulated 27 doubles as a squad and have hit 14 baseballs out of the park. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .336 and have been rung up 178 times, while being walked on 66 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 3.7 runs per contest, which is 23rd in the league. They have 66 runs batted in and 140 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .217. They are sitting with 71 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .296.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.11. Tigers pitchers have allowed 21 home runs and 75 runs (6th in MLB). Detroit has yielded 136 base hits (7.0 per 9 innings) and 61 earned runs. The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.11 for the year (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 164 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 60 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.11 as a team over the course of the season.

The Tigers have sent 60 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 26 base runners for the season and 23.1% of those players ended up scoring. They have 6 saves on the campaign and have blown 4 of 10 chances to save the game. The Tigers relievers have a save rate of 60.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 15 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 5 holds for the year (30th in MLB). Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 22 times in addition to having 30 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have converted 74.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,587 innings, which has them ranked 1st in pro baseball. The Detroit Tigers have amassed 529 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 175 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them ranked 13th in professional baseball, and have a total of 15 double plays.

Mize has taken the hill for 204 frames and has earned 160 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.28 (97 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.206. He has allowed 187 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 59 free passes. Mize (7-13 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.82 while he has faced 855 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Twins hold a slugging percentage of .330 and they have an average of 3.41 runs per outing (28th in baseball). They have put up 24 doubles, while taking a walk 55 times as well as scoring 58 runs. Minnesota has 15 home runs on the season as well as 53 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 175 instances (10th in MLB) and have recorded 109 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have accumulated an on-base percentage of .281 and a team batting average of .193 on the year.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.268 with a FIP of 4.30 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 10.20 (170 strikeouts against 44 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 145. They have conceded 27 long balls and they concede 4.71 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have relinquished 78 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.23 (70 earned runs given up).

Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 6 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves. They are currently ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 52 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 18 times in high leverage situations and on 15 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.1% out of 19 inherited runners. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Twins have compiled 9 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

In 1,344 innings played, the Twins hold a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (24th in the majors). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 7 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in the majors). The Twins have recorded 116 assists, 6 errors and have accounted for 448 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Varland has allowed 116 base knocks and he has 108 strikeouts in 108 innings. He has conceded a total of 59 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.333 and a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.86 and he has gone up against 461 hitters so far in his career. Varland (5-8 career win-loss record) holds a 4.92 earned run average while giving up 9.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-125)

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