Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Monday, September 16, 2024

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals (80-67) will play the Detroit Tigers (75-72) at Kauffman Stadium on Monday. The starting pitchers will be Casey Mize and Seth Lugo.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have tallied 628 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .299. The Tigers have accounted for 223 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 150 balls out of the park. They have compiled 606 runs batted in in addition to 1,163 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .235. Detroit has a slugging rate of .387 and have been rung up 1,311 times, while taking a walk on 421 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.27 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 144 home runs and 594 runs in total (7th in baseball). Detroit has conceded 1,163 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 534 earned runs. The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.67 this season (4th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,233 hitters. They have walked 377 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.70 as a team on the year.

The Tigers bullpen have earned a save rate of 60.0% and has entered the game in 127 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 runners so far this year with 24.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Tigers pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 161 times in addition to having 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 452 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have 66 holds this year (26th in the league). They have accumulated 36 saves so far this season and have blown 24 of their 60 chances to get a save.

The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 3,933 putouts this season, as well as 1,263 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which ranks 10th in the majors, and have 115 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,799 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball.

Mize (9-19 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.30 and he has faced 1,203 hitters in the majors. He has given up 282 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 79 walks. His earned run average is 4.37 (137 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.278. Mize has pitched in 282 innings and has tallied 219 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Kansas City is sitting with 162 home runs this season and 673 runs batted in. They have hit 248 doubles, while taking a walk 379 times as well as racking up 693 runs. The Kansas City Royals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a team batting average of .253 so far this year. The Royals hold a team slugging percentage of .415 and they average 4.71 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,022 occasions (29th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,249 base hits.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.253 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.82 as a team over the course of the season. They rank 19th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,199. The Kansas City pitching staff have yielded 598 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.87 (556 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,190 strikeouts vs 422 walks). They have yielded 135 long balls and they yield 4.16 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).

Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.4% out of their 201 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 132 times in high leverage situations and on 116 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 130 save situations, the Royals have amassed 68 holds and also 23 blown saves. They sit at 18th in the league with a save rate of 61.7%, and they have sent 455 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Kansas City has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 60 save chances and they have earned 37 saves.

In their 11,643 innings on the field, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in MLB). The Kansas City Royals have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (8th in baseball). The Royals have recorded 1,303 assists, 73 errors and have a tally of 3,881 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Lugo has allowed 744 hits while he has tallied 817 strikeouts in 834 innings. Lugo (56-39 career record) has a 3.37 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 312 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.153 and having a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.75 and he has gone up against 3,430 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Kansas City

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