Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, October 1, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

The Houston Astros (88-73) will try to defeat the Detroit Tigers (86-76) at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday in Game 1 of their series. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tarik Skubal and Framber Valdez. The Tigers are at +125 while Houston is at -150. 

As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are recording 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. They have a total of 682 runs and have an on-base percentage of .300. The Tigers have tallied 244 doubles as a squad and have hit 162 balls out of the park. They have compiled 656 RBI's and 1,273 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .234. Detroit has a slugging % of .385 and have struck out 1,461 times, while drawing a walk on 476 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.25 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.16. Tigers pitchers have conceded 159 home runs and also 642 runs in total (5th in the league). Detroit has conceded 1,265 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 581 earned runs. The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.61 over the course of the season (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,354 batters. They have walked 416 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.70 as a team for the season.

Tigers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 178 times in addition to having 168 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 79 holds for the year (22nd in MLB). The Tigers relievers have compiled a save rate of 63.4% and stepped onto the hill in 151 save situations. They have earned 45 saves for the season and have not converted 26 of their 71 save chances. The relievers have inherited 241 base runners on the year with 23.2% of those runners crossed home plate. The Tigers have dispatched 504 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Tigers have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,023 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have earned a total of 4,341 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,409 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which is 8th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 129 double plays.

Skubal (41-31 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.33 and he has gone up against 2,308 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 473 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 139 walks. His ERA is 3.38 (214 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.073. Skubal has thrown 570 innings and has 648 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Houston has accumulated 190 HRs this year as well as 701 runs batted in. They have hit 264 two-baggers, while walking 448 times as well as earning 740 runs. The Houston Astros hold a team OBP of .322 and a team batting average of .262 on the season. The Astros have a team slugging % of .418 and they average 4.60 runs per game (10th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,176 occasions (28th in the league) and are sitting with 1,448 hits.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.244 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (1,479 strikeouts against 544 bases on balls). They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,238. They have yielded 183 dingers and they relinquish 4.08 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 649 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.74 (595 earned runs yielded).

Houston relievers have an inherited score rate of 29.9% out of their 157 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 155 times in high leverage situations in addition to 104 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 165 save situations, the Astros have compiled 94 holds and also 26 blown saves. They rank 19th in the league holding a save rate of 62.3%, and they have sent 511 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 69 save opportunities and they have come away with 43 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 130 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Astros have racked up 1,312 assists, 84 errors and have 4,296 putouts during this campaign. In their 12,888 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Valdez has given up 741 base hits and he has 866 strikeouts in 888 frames. He has given up a total of 326 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.196 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and he has faced 3,681 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Valdez (68-41 career mark) has a 3.30 ERA and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit

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