Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, July 22, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (59-38) will take on the Detroit Tigers (49-50) on Monday. The expected starting pitchers are Tarik Skubal and Carlos Carrasco.

As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 16th in the league. They have notched a total of 425 runs while holding a team OBP of .299. The Tigers have tallied 144 doubles as a squad and have hit 102 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 408 runs batted in and 779 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .234. Detroit has a slugging % of .388 and have been called out on strikes 855 times, while being walked on 282 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.19 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Tigers pitchers have conceded 99 long balls and also 427 total runs (15th in the league). Detroit has yielded 803 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 384 earned runs. The Tigers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.94 this season (14th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 845 batters. They have walked 265 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.73 as a team on the season.

The Tigers have sent 299 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 runners this season with 25.9% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 22 saves on the year and have blown 18 of their 40 chances to get a save. The Tigers relievers have a save rate of 55.0% and has entered the game in 82 save situations. The bullpen have 41 holds this year (27th in MLB). Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 102 times and also have had 101 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have converted 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,899 innings, ranking them 21st in the majors. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 2,633 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 858 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and have 81 double plays.

Skubal has thrown 494 innings and has tallied 560 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.53 (194 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.086. He has conceded 412 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 125 free passes. Skubal (33-30 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.48 while he has gone up against 2,010 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .402 and they average 4.75 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have recorded 161 doubles, while taking a walk 289 times as well as scoring 461 runs. Cleveland has hit 109 long balls for the year to go along with 431 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 713 instances (27th in the league) and have a total of 777 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a batting average of .242 on the campaign.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.221 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (859 strikeouts vs 302 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 747. They have allowed 111 dingers and they allow 3.94 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 376 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.68 (351 earned runs relinquished).

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 46 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves. They are ranked 2nd in the league holding a save percentage of 73.9%, and they have sent 352 relievers to the mound this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 98 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.4% out of 137 inherited base runners. With 128 save situations, the Guardians have 80 holds and 12 blown saves.

Out of their 7,731 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 83 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Guardians have racked up 835 assists, 51 errors and have 2,577 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Carrasco has given up 1,591 base hits while tallying 1,641 K's in 1,624 frames. Carrasco (110-100 mark in his career) has a 4.10 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 739 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.253 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.70 and he has gone up against 6,781 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland

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