Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, October 7, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

The Cleveland Guardians (92-69) will take on the Detroit Tigers (86-76) at Progressive Field on Monday in Game 2 of the ALDS. The starting pitchers will be Tarik Skubal and Matthew Boyd.

The Tigers have tallied 244 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 162 balls out of the stadium. Detroit has a slugging rate of .385 and have been called out on strikes 1,461 times, while taking a walk on 476 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 20th in baseball. They have accumulated 656 runs batted in as well as 1,273 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is .234. They have earned a total of 682 runs scored and hold an OBP of .300.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.25 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.16. Tigers pitchers have yielded 159 home runs in addition to 642 runs in total (5th in the league). Detroit has conceded 1,265 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs. The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 3.61 over the course of the season (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,354 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 416 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a team so far this year.

The Tigers have sent 504 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 241 runners over the course of the season with 23.2% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 45 saves this season and have not converted 26 of their 71 save opportunities. The Tigers relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 63.4% and has entered the game in 151 save situations. The relievers have 79 holds on the campaign (22nd in the league). Tigers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 178 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have notched a total of 4,341 putouts on the year, as well as 1,409 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 8th in MLB, and have 129 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,023 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball.

Skubal (41-31 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.33 while going up against 2,308 opposing hitters in the majors. He has allowed 473 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 139 free passes. His ERA is 3.38 (214 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.073. Skubal has thrown 570 innings and has accounted for 648 punch outs so far in his career.

Cleveland has 185 long balls for the year as well as 670 runs batted in. They have hit 245 two-baggers, while taking a walk 466 times as well as scoring 708 runs. The Cleveland Guardians hold a team on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .238 this season. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .395 and they have an average of 4.40 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,196 occasions (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,263 base hits.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.202 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff for the season. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,224. The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 621 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.61 (572 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (1,410 strikeouts vs 492 walks). They have allowed 179 dingers and they allow 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

Cleveland has had relievers step onto the hill in 69 save opportunities and they have tallied 53 saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 593 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 198 times in high leverage situations and on 170 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.0% of 235 inherited runners. With 193 save situations, the Guardians have compiled 122 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In 12,852 innings on the field, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 130 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 1,377 assists, 87 errors and have accumulated 4,284 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Boyd has given up 899 base hits while he has accumulated 891 K's in 907 innings pitched. Boyd (46-69 career mark) has earned a 4.85 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 489 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and having a FIP of 4.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.03 and he has faced 3,896 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit

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