Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

The Detroit Tigers (86-76) are traveling to Progressive Field on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) in Game 5 of the ALDS. The expected starting pitchers will be Tarik Skubal and Matthew Boyd. The odds have Cleveland at +105 and Detroit at -125. The total opens at 8.

Detroit has a slugging rate of .385 and have struck out 1,461 times, while drawing a walk on 476 occasions. They have tallied 656 runs batted in and 1,273 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate sits at .234. The Tigers have earned 244 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 162 baseballs out of the park. They have 682 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .300. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 20th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.16. Tigers pitchers have allowed 159 long balls in addition to 642 runs (5th in the league). Detroit has given up 1,265 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs. The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.61 on the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,354 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 416 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a team this year.

The Tigers have dispatched 504 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 241 base runners this year and 23.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 45 saves so far this season and have blown 26 of their 71 chances to get a save. The Tigers relievers have a save rate of 63.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 151 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 79 holds on the year (22nd in the league). Tigers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 178 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,023 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers have 4,341 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,409 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 129 double plays.

Skubal (41-31 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.33 and he has gone up against 2,308 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 473 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 139 walks. His earned run average is 3.38 (214 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.073. Skubal has thrown 570 innings and has accounted for 648 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .395 and they score 4.40 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have 245 two-baggers, while getting a free base 466 times as well as scoring 708 runs. Cleveland has knocked in 185 home runs so far this year as well as 670 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,196 instances (27th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,263 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have earned a team on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a batting average of .238 so far this year.

The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 621 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.61 (572 earned runs conceded). They have given up 179 homers and they surrender 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.202 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (1,410 strikeouts against 492 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,224.

Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of 235 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 198 times in high leverage situations and also on 170 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 193 save situations, the Guardians have earned 122 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They sit at 1st in MLB with a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 593 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year. Cleveland has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 69 save opportunities and they have walked away with 53 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 130 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Guardians have recorded 1,377 assists, 87 errors and have a tally of 4,284 putouts on the campaign. In 12,852 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in MLB).

In his career, Boyd has allowed 899 hits while earning 891 strikeouts in 907 innings pitched. Boyd (46-69 record in his career) has earned a 4.85 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 489 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and he has faced 3,896 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-125)

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