Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+128) Cincinnati (-152)

The Cincinnati Reds (42-46) welcome the Detroit Tigers (40-48) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Tigers at +128 and the Reds are at -152. The betting total is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tarik Skubal and Graham Ashcraft.

As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are knocking in 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in MLB. They have earned a total of 361 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .293. The Tigers have tallied 123 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 87 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 346 runs batted in and 675 base knocks this year, while their batting average is .229. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 767 times, while taking a walk on 242 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.24 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Tigers pitchers have yielded 88 long balls in addition to 386 total runs (17th in baseball). Detroit has conceded 725 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 345 earned runs. The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 4.00 this season (16th in baseball), and they have rung up 749 hitters. They have walked 231 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a squad on the season.

The Tigers have dispatched 258 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 127 base runners this year with 26.8% of those players ended up scoring. They have 18 saves this year and have missed out on 17 out of their 35 save opportunities. The Tigers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 51.4% and has come into the game in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 32 holds on the year (30th in baseball). Tigers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 88 times and also have had 87 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,990 innings on the field, ranking them 25th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers have accounted for 2,330 putouts on the campaign, as well as 746 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which puts them in 26th in the majors, and have a total of 69 double plays.

Skubal has taken the ball for 481 innings and has accumulated 539 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.57 (191 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.103. He has given up 407 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 124 walks. Skubal (32-30 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.52 while he has gone up against 1,963 hitters in the majors.

The Reds have a SLG% of .378 and they are earning 4.30 runs per outing (15th in MLB). They have notched 136 two-baggers, while taking a walk 273 times and scoring 378 runs. Cincinnati has tallied 87 home runs on the year to go along with 356 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 786 occasions (8th in MLB) and are sitting with 650 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .227 on the year.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 358 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.85 (332 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 93 home runs and they relinquish 4.16 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.242 with a FIP of 4.10 as a staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (729 strikeouts against 275 bases on balls). They rank 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 688.

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 26 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. They sit at 1st in MLB with a save rate of 80.8%, and they have dispatched 279 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 86 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.9% out of their 119 inherited runners. With 81 save situations, the Reds have amassed 54 holds and also 5 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 48 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 663 assists, 52 errors and are sitting with 2,327 putouts so far this year. In their 6,981 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (8th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Ashcraft has given up 350 hits while tallying 237 punch outs in 322 innings. Ashcraft (17-19 career win-loss mark) has a 4.97 earned run average while giving up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 178 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.414 and having a FIP of 4.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has gone up against 1,417 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-152)

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