Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL
TV: NBC Sports Chicago
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-125) Chicago (+105)
The Detroit Tigers (78-84 last year) are headed to Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Chicago White Sox (61-101 last season). The odds on this game have the Tigers at -125 while the White Sox are opening at +105. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet.
Detroit had a slugging percentage of .382 and were called out on strikes 1,473 times, while being walked on 508 occasions. They had 635 runs batted in and 1,293 hits last season, and their team batting average sat at .236. The Tigers earned 245 doubles as a unit and hit 165 balls out of the stadium. They racked up 661 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .305. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers notched 4.1 runs per game, which ranked them 28th in the league.
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They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.25. Tigers pitchers allowed 187 home runs in addition to 740 total runs (19th in the league). Detroit surrendered 1,320 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 680 earned runs. The Tigers finished with a team earned run average of 4.24 over the course of the prior season (17th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,374 batters. Their pitching staff walked 476 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 4.13 as a team over the course of last season.
Tigers relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on 169 times as well as having 162 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers had 102 holds for the previous season (6th in baseball). The Tigers relief pitchers had a save percentage of 65.1% and entered the game in 170 save situations. They accumulated 41 saves last year and missed out on 22 of their 63 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers inherited 240 base runners over the course of last season with 30.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Tigers sent 535 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of last year.
The Tigers converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,981 innings, which ranked them 8th in professional baseball. The Detroit Tigers accounted for 4,327 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,403 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding rate held steady at .983 which was 27th in the majors, and had 129 double plays.
Skubal has taken the ball for 379 innings and is sitting with 420 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.87 (163 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.147. He has conceded 331 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 104 walks. Skubal (23-27 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.83 while he has faced 1,555 hitters in the major leagues.
The White Sox had a team slugging percentage of .384 and they had an average of 3.96 runs per game (29th in the league). They hit 264 doubles, while walking 377 times as well as scoring 641 runs. Chicago had 171 home runs over the course of last year and 617 RBIs. They were rung up on 1,424 occasions (12th in baseball) and earned 1,308 hits. The Chicago White Sox had an on-base percentage of .291 and a team batting average of .238 over the course of last year.
The White Sox held a team WHIP of 1.416 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.71 as a team over the course of last year. Their K/BB ratio sat at 9.20 (1,470 strikeouts against 654 walks). They ranked 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,372. They surrendered 214 home runs and they gave up 5.29 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff yielded 841 runs over the course of last year while holding an ERA of 4.87 (774 earned runs relinquished).
Chicago called on relievers to enter the contest in 57 save chances and they walked away with 28 saves. They were ranked 28th in baseball with a save rate of 49.1%, and they sent 521 relief pitchers onto the field last year. Their bullpen pitchers took the field 186 times in high leverage situations and also on 158 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 35.8% of 229 inherited runners. With 129 save situations, the White Sox tallied 71 holds and also 29 blown saves.
The Chicago White Sox turned 117 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in MLB). The White Sox recorded 1,249 assists, 95 errors and notched a total of 4,295 putouts over the course of last year. In 12,885 innings played, the White Sox earned a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in pro baseball).
Garrett Crochet (3-7 mark in his career) holds a 2.71 earned run average and has surrendered 7.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.13 and he has faced 316 hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed 22 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.329 and having a FIP of 3.2. During his career, Garrett Crochet has conceded 57 hits while he has totaled 85 K's in 73 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (+105) and under 8 runs
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Additional Resources:
Chicago White Sox - Twitter
Detroit Tigers - Twitter