Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+150) Cincinnati (-178)

The Cincinnati Reds (44-48) are welcoming the Colorado Rockies (32-60) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +150 while Cincinnati is priced at -178. The total has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Austin Gomber and Carson Spiers.

The Rockies have recorded 161 doubles as a squad and have hit 89 baseballs out of the park. Colorado owns a slugging percentage of .391 and have struck out 869 times, while being walked on 256 occasions. As a unit, the Colorado Rockies are recording 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league. They have compiled 361 runs batted in and 760 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is at .244. They are sitting with 379 runs while holding a team OBP of .305.

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The Rockies have a team earned run average of 5.55 for the season (30th in baseball), and they have struck out 602 hitters. Rockies pitchers have allowed 109 long balls in addition to 540 runs (30th in MLB). They have walked 327 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.75 as a unit on the year. Colorado has allowed 927 hits (10.2 per 9 innings) as well as 503 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 1.84 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.54.

The Rockies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 48.6% and has come into the game in 70 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 148 base runners so far this year and 39.9% of them crossed home plate. Rockies relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 94 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have sent 271 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have tallied 33 holds this year (29th in baseball). They have recorded 18 saves for the year and have missed out on 19 of their 37 save opportunities.

The Colorado Rockies have accounted for 2,445 putouts so far this season, as well as 931 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which is 5th in baseball, and have 93 double plays. The Rockies have transformed 66.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,335 innings, which has them ranked 30th in MLB.

Gomber has pitched in 577 frames and has earned 451 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Gomber (32-33 career record) has a FIP of 4.76 while he has gone up against 2,467 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.83 (310 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.369. He has surrendered 601 base knocks (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 189 walks.

Cincinnati has accumulated 93 HRs for the season to go along with 375 runs batted in. They have 148 two-baggers, while walking 285 times as well as scoring 400 runs. The Cincinnati Reds hold an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a team batting average of .227 this year. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .383 and they have an average of 4.35 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have struck out on 831 instances (6th in baseball) and have earned 681 hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (766 strikeouts against 289 walks). They are sitting at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 721. They have allowed 98 home runs and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 374 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.82 (344 earned runs conceded).

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 27 save chances and they have earned 21 saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 295 relievers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 79 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.0% out of 125 inherited runners. Sitting with 86 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

In their 7,305 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (9th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 55 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (27th in baseball). The Reds have accrued 697 assists, 56 errors and have accounted for 2,435 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Spiers has given up 62 base hits while he has totaled 44 punch outs in 55 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 27 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 243 hitters in his pro baseball career. Spiers (2-3 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.42 ERA while allowing 10.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-178)

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