Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, April 1, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Rockies.TV

The Chicago Cubs (83-79 last season) will play the Colorado Rockies (59-103 last year) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The starting pitchers are Dakota Hudson and Javier Assad.

Colorado had a slugging % of .405 and were called out on strikes 1,543 times, while drawing a walk on 447 occasions. They recorded 685 runs batted in and 1,368 base knocks in the previous season, and their average at the plate came in at .249. The Rockies compiled 305 two-baggers as a unit and hit 163 baseballs out of the park. They notched a total of 721 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .310. As a unit, the Colorado Rockies knocked in 4.5 runs/g, which had them at 18th in the league.

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The Rockies held a team earned run average of 5.67 during the previous year (30th in MLB), and the staff struck out 1,129 hitters. Rockies pitchers gave up 234 home runs in addition to 957 runs in total (30th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 586 players from the other team and their FIP was 5.24 as a team last year. Colorado conceded 1,598 base hits (10.2 per 9 innings) and 891 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio was 1.93 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.54.

The Rockies bullpen accumulated a save percentage of 48.5% and stepped onto the mound in 126 save situations. The bullpen inherited 263 base runners last season and 38.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rockies pitchers came into the game with runners on base 158 times in addition to having 152 games in high leverage situations. The Rockies dispatched 544 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of last year. The relief pitchers tallied 58 holds last season (30th in MLB). They compiled 32 saves in the prior season and blew 34 of their 66 chances to get a save.

The Rockies converted 67.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,726 innings, which had them sitting at 30th in pro baseball. The Colorado Rockies accounted for 4,242 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,516 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .986 which ranked 13th in professional baseball, and had a total of 169 double plays.

Hudson (38-20 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.63 and he has gone up against 2,010 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 439 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 215 free passes. His earned run average is 3.84 (201 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.390. Hudson has thrown 470 frames and has racked up 315 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Chicago compiled 196 HRs over the course of last year and 786 RBIs. They recorded 269 doubles, while walking 570 times as well as putting up 819 runs. The Chicago Cubs accounted for an on-base percentage of .330 as well as a batting average of .254 for the prior year. The Cubs had a team slugging percentage of .421 and they scored 5.06 runs per contest (6th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,391 occasions (17th in baseball) and earned 1,399 hits.

The Cubs had a team WHIP of 1.283 and had a FIP of 4.16 as a team during the previous year. Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.60 (1,377 strikeouts vs 513 free passes). They were sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,328. They gave up 179 home runs and they conceded 4.53 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff conceded 723 runs over the course of last year while having an ERA of 4.08 (651 earned runs surrendered).

With 141 save situations, the Cubs earned 83 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Chicago had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 57 save chances and they converted 35 saves. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations and on 136 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers had an inherited score percentage of 27.8% out of their 223 inherited runners. They were ranked 16th in MLB with a save rate of 61.4%, and they dispatched 510 relievers onto the field last year.

In their 12,918 innings on the diamond, the Cubs finished with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (15th in MLB). The Chicago Cubs had 137 double plays and had a fielding rate of .984 (19th in pro baseball). The Cubs racked up 1,490 assists, 92 errors and accumulated 4,306 putouts last year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Assad has allowed 128 base knocks and he has 124 K's in 147 innings. He has given up a total of 50 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03 and he has faced 615 batters thus far in his career. Assad (7-5 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.06 ERA and has conceded 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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