Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+170) Arizona (-210)

Chase Field is where the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78 last season) will try to beat the Colorado Rockies (59-103 last year) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Rockies at +170 and the Diamondbacks are coming in at -210. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kyle Freeland and Zac Gallen.

The Rockies accounted for 305 doubles as a squad and knocked 163 baseballs out of the stadium. Colorado had a slugging % of .405 and struck out 1,543 times, while taking a walk on 447 occasions. As a squad, the Colorado Rockies notched 4.5 runs per contest, which ranked them 18th in the league. They earned 685 runs batted in and 1,368 base knocks over the course of the prior season, while their team batting average finished at .249. They tallied 721 runs and held an on-base percentage of .310.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 1.93 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.54. Rockies pitchers gave up 234 home runs in addition to 957 runs (30th in baseball). Colorado conceded 1,598 base knocks (10.2 per 9 innings) and 891 earned runs. The Rockies finished with a team earned run average of 5.67 during the previous year (30th in MLB), and their staff rung up 1,129 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 586 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 5.24 as a unit in the previous season.

The Rockies dispatched 544 relief pitchers to the hill last year. The bullpen inherited 263 base runners in the previous season and 38.8% of them crossed home plate. They compiled 32 saves over the course of last season and blew 34 of their 66 save opportunities. The Rockies relief pitchers earned a save rate of 48.5% and stepped onto the hill in 126 save situations. The relief pitchers notched 58 holds over the course of last season (30th in MLB). Rockies relief pitchers entered the game with runners on base 158 times in addition to having 152 contests in high leverage situations.

The Rockies converted 67.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,726 innings, which ranked them 30th in professional baseball. The Colorado Rockies earned 4,242 putouts over the course of the prior season, as well as 1,516 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .986 which had them ranked 13th in professional baseball, and had 169 double plays.

Freeland has thrown 984 innings and has tallied 735 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.39 (480 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.417. He has allowed 1,067 hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) and has 328 free passes. Freeland (55-65 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.60 while he has gone up against 4,267 hitters in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks held a slugging % of .408 and they were earning 4.60 runs per game (14th in baseball). They hit 274 two-baggers, while taking a walk 540 times and putting up 746 runs. Arizona tallied 166 HRs over the course of last season to go along with 706 RBIs. They struck out on 1,247 occasions (27th in the league) and earned a total of 1,359 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks accounted for an on-base percentage of .322 and a batting average of .250 over the course of last season.

The Diamondbacks held a team WHIP of 1.324 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.36 as a pitching staff over the course of last year. They were sitting at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,375. The Arizona pitching staff given up 761 runs over the course of last year while having a team ERA of 4.47 (713 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts against 525 bases on balls). They gave up 197 homers and they relinquished 4.77 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

Arizona had relief pitchers take the mound in 71 save chances and they recorded 44 saves. They ranked 15th in MLB with a save rate of 62.0%, and they sent 547 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year. Their relief pitchers came in 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 166 occasions with runners on. Arizona bullpen pitchers had an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of 235 inherited base runners. Wrapping up the year with 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks recorded 76 holds and 27 blown saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks turned 134 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Diamondbacks racked up 1,399 assists, 56 errors and earned 4,306 putouts last season. In their 12,918 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Gallen has given up 534 base hits while earning 729 strikeouts in 667 innings pitched. Gallen (39-31 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.21 earned run average while surrendering 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 238 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.106 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.57 and he has gone up against 2,708 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado (+170)

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