Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Philadelphia Phillies (64-38) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (61-41) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The starting pitchers are Xzavion Curry and Ranger Suarez.

As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 12th in the league. They have a total of 471 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313. The Guardians have compiled 169 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 112 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 441 runs batted in in addition to 810 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .241. Cleveland has a slugging rate of .398 and have been called out on strikes 754 times, while drawing a walk on 301 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.89 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. Guardians pitchers have conceded 116 home runs and also 394 total runs (4th in the league). Cleveland has conceded 783 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 367 earned runs. The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 3.65 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 904 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 313 opposing players and their FIP is 3.98 as a team on the season.

The Guardians bullpen have earned a save rate of 75.0% and has come into the game in 133 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 144 base runners so far this year with 24.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Guardians relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 103 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 370 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have 83 holds this season (1st in the league). They have compiled 36 saves this season and have missed out on 12 out of their 48 chances to get a save.

The Cleveland Guardians have notched a total of 2,712 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 871 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which is 17th in pro baseball, and have a total of 86 double plays. The Guardians have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,136 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 9th in pro baseball.

Curry (3-7 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.29 while he has gone up against 543 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 134 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 40 free passes. His ERA is 4.36 (61 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.381. Curry has taken the mound for 126 innings and has tallied 83 strikeouts during his career.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .421 and they score 4.90 runs per game (5th in the league). They have recorded 165 doubles, while taking a walk 351 times and racking up 500 runs. Philadelphia has knocked in 124 home runs this year and 479 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 854 occasions (18th in the league) and are sitting with 893 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .257 so far this season.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.169 with a FIP of 3.52 as a staff for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (924 strikeouts vs 276 bases on balls). They come in at 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 790. They have surrendered 95 HR's and they allow 3.86 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 391 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.46 (351 earned runs relinquished).

With 96 save situations, the Phillies have earned 52 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 43 save opportunities and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 112 times in high leverage situations in addition to 68 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.0% out of 92 inherited runners. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.8%, and they have sent 318 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 75 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Phillies have 915 assists, 57 errors and are sitting with 2,738 putouts so far this season. Out of their 8,214 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Suarez has given up 534 hits while he has tallied 525 strikeouts in 573 innings. He has given up a total of 210 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 2,401 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Suarez (39-26 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.30 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland

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