Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-138) Detroit (+118)

The Detroit Tigers (43-49) host the Cleveland Guardians (57-33) at Comerica Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Guardians at -138 and the Tigers are priced at +118. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Spencer Howard and Jack Flaherty.

As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 4.9 runs per outing, which is 6th in the league. They have notched a total of 445 runs and have an OBP of .320. The Guardians have tallied 155 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 105 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 415 runs batted in as well as 736 hits so far this year, and their batting average is at .246. Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been called out on strikes 663 times, while taking a walk on 277 occasions.

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The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 3.70 so far this season (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 802 batters. Guardians pitchers have yielded 104 home runs and 348 runs in total (3rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 276 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a team on the year. Cleveland has allowed 692 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 329 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Guardians have dispatched 332 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 125 base runners for the season with 23.2% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 33 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 12 out of their 45 chances to get a save. The Guardians relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 73.3% and has come into the game in 124 save situations. The relievers have a total of 77 holds so far this year (2nd in MLB). Guardians bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 93 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Guardians have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of 7,200 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in MLB. The Cleveland Guardians have notched a total of 2,400 putouts for the season, in addition to 779 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 12th in the majors, and they have turned 79 double plays.

Howard (4-12 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 6.86 while going up against 653 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 170 base hits (11.1 hits per 9 innings) with 66 free passes. His ERA is 6.96 (107 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.706. Howard has taken the ball for 138 frames and has racked up 130 punch outs during his MLB career.

Detroit has accounted for 92 home runs on the year as well as 365 runs batted in. They have tallied 129 doubles, while getting a free base 255 times as well as putting up 380 runs. The Detroit Tigers have an OBP of .295 as well as a team batting average of .230 over the course of the season. The Tigers have a SLG% of .379 and they score 4.13 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 798 occasions (11th in MLB) and have earned a total of 712 hits.

The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.224 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a unit on the season. They are sitting at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 752. The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 399 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.95 (357 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (793 strikeouts against 243 walks). They have surrendered 91 long balls and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 37 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves. They are ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 54.1%, and they have sent 271 relievers to the mound this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with base runners. Detroit bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.1% out of 134 inherited runners. Sitting with 70 save situations, the Tigers have compiled 33 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

In their 7,323 innings on the field, the Tigers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Tigers have accrued 783 assists, 56 errors and have notched a total of 2,441 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Flaherty has surrendered 629 hits while accumulating 863 punch outs in 756 frames. Flaherty (47-39 career record) has a 3.69 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 310 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.186 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.22 and he has gone up against 3,139 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-138)

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