Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 10/9/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: TBS

The Cleveland Guardians (92-69) are traveling to Comerica Park on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Detroit Tigers (86-76) on Wednesday in Game 3 of the ALDS. The series is tied 1-1. The pitchers expected to take the mound will be Alex Cobb and Keider Montero. The odds open with Cleveland at -115 and Detroit at -105. The total is 7.5.

As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.4 runs per contest, which is 14th in MLB. They have racked up 708 runs and have an OBP of .307. The Guardians have accounted for 245 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 185 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 670 runs batted in as well as 1,263 hits for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .238. Cleveland has a slugging % of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,196 times, while drawing a walk on 466 occasions.

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The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 3.61 this season (3rd in baseball), and they have rung up 1,410 batters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 179 home runs and also 621 total runs (3rd in MLB). They have walked 492 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a unit on the year. Cleveland has given up 1,224 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 572 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.87 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20.

Guardians pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 170 times and also have had 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 122 holds this season (1st in baseball). The Guardians relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 76.8% and stepped onto the hill in 193 save situations. They have compiled 53 saves for the year and have not converted 16 of their 69 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 235 base runners so far this season with 26.0% of them crossed home plate. The Guardians have dispatched 593 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for 4,284 putouts on the year, as well as 1,377 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 17th in MLB, and have a total of 130 double plays. The Guardians have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,852 innings, which ranks them 5th in MLB.

Cobb (79-76 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.78 while he has faced 5,577 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,307 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 383 free passes. His earned run average is 3.84 (566 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.274. Cobb has thrown 1,327 innings and has totaled 1,108 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Tigers have a team SLG% of .385 and they have an average of 4.21 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have 244 doubles, while walking 476 times and scoring 682 runs. Detroit has 162 home runs on the campaign as well as 656 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,461 instances (8th in the league) and have tallied 1,273 hits. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated a team OBP of .300 in addition to a batting average of .234 so far this year.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.162 in addition to having a FIP of 3.70 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,354 strikeouts against 416 bases on balls). They come in at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,265. They have surrendered 159 homers and they surrender 3.99 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Detroit pitching staff have yielded 642 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.61 (581 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 151 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 79 holds and 26 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 71 save opportunities and they have come away with 45 saves. Their relievers have come in 168 times in high leverage situations and on 178 occasions with runners on. Detroit relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.2% of 241 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 17th in the league holding a save rate of 63.4%, and they have sent 504 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (8th in the majors). The Tigers have recorded 1,409 assists, 80 errors and have amassed 4,341 putouts this year. In their 13,023 innings on the field, the Tigers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (4th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Montero has given up 100 hits and he has 77 K's in 98 innings. Montero (6-6 mark in his career) has earned a 4.77 earned run average while surrendering 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 52 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and having a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and he has gone up against 412 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-115)

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