Cleveland Guardians vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+154) Atlanta (-184)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (17-6) will attempt to beat the Cleveland Guardians (18-7) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at +154 and Atlanta opens at -184. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Bibee and Charlie Morton.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 5.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB. They have earned 134 runs and have an on-base percentage of .324. The Guardians have accrued 47 doubles as a unit and have hit 25 baseballs out of the park. They have 121 runs batted in and 215 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .253. Cleveland is slugging .406 and have been called out on strikes 184 times, while drawing a walk on 71 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Guardians pitchers have conceded 22 home runs and also 85 total runs (2nd in baseball). Cleveland has yielded 190 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) and 80 earned runs. The Guardians have a team earned run average of 3.19 this year (5th in MLB), and they have struck out 241 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 88 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.59 as a team on the campaign.

Guardians pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 25 times and also have had 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 23 holds for the year (1st in the league). The Guardians relievers have compiled a save rate of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 36 save situations. They have tallied 9 saves on the campaign and have blown 3 of 12 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 33 runners this season with 24.2% of them ended up scoring. The Guardians have sent 100 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Cleveland Guardians have earned 678 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 213 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 10th in pro baseball, and they have turned 19 double plays. The Guardians have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,034 innings on the field, ranking them 18th in baseball.

Bibee has taken the hill for 166 innings and has racked up 167 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.19 (59 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.238. He has conceded 149 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 57 walks. Bibee (12-4 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.69 while going up against 696 batters in the majors.

Atlanta has a total of 28 home runs on the year as well as 131 RBIs. They have notched 59 doubles, while taking a walk 81 times as well as putting up 137 runs. The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .355 as well as a batting average of .283 so far this season. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .468 and they have an average of 5.96 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have struck out on 195 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have tallied 229 hits.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.204 with a FIP of 3.81 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.10 (186 strikeouts against 65 free passes). They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 183. They have surrendered 23 HR's and they surrender 4.06 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 93 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.80 (87 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.7% out of 22 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 23 times in high leverage situations in addition to 19 occasions with runners on base. With 25 save situations, the Braves have compiled 14 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 9th in the league with a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have sent 73 relievers to the hill this season. Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the game in 11 save opportunities and they have converted 8 saves.

In 1,854 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have turned 25 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .992 (2nd in pro baseball). The Braves have 243 assists, 7 errors and have accumulated 618 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Morton has surrendered 1,856 base hits while he has totaled 1,902 strikeouts in 1,983 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 883 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.305 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has gone up against 8,495 hitters during his career. Morton (132-113 career record) is the owner of a 4.01 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+154)

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