Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (52-51) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (49-53) on Sunday. The men taking the mound are Hunter Greene and Tyler Alexander.

The Reds have accounted for 169 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 114 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 922 times, while drawing a walk on 313 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in MLB. They have tallied 429 runs batted in and 772 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .231. They have 456 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26. Reds pitchers have allowed 108 home runs and 417 total runs (8th in the league). Cincinnati has allowed 809 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 385 earned runs. The Reds have an earned run average of 3.86 over the course of the season (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 859 batters. They have walked 320 batters and their FIP is 4.05 as a unit this season.

The Reds have dispatched 331 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 144 runners over the course of the season with 27.8% of them ended up scoring. They have compiled 21 saves on the year and have missed out on 7 of 28 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 92 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 62 holds on the year (8th in MLB). Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 89 times as well as having 100 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,696 putouts this year, as well as 768 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which puts them in 27th in baseball, and have accumulated 62 double plays. The Reds have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,088 innings, which has them sitting 14th in the majors.

Greene (16-24 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.08 while facing 1,512 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 295 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 144 walks. His ERA is 4.14 (163 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.239. Greene has thrown 354 innings and has racked up 449 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with a team OBP of .311 and a batting average of .235 for the year. They have struck out on 926 occasions (5th in MLB) and are sitting with 806 base knocks. Tampa Bay has recorded 98 home runs for the year as well as 386 runs batted in. The Rays have a team slugging % of .374 and they average 4.01 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have put up 162 doubles, while getting a free base 339 times and recording 413 runs.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.254 in addition to having a FIP of 4.22 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (886 strikeouts against 292 free passes). They come in at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 863. They have conceded 135 dingers and they surrender 4.56 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 467 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.17 (427 earned runs conceded).

Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.2% out of 113 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 135 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 123 save situations, the Rays have accrued 70 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 348 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 51 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves.

In their 8,292 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (12th in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 71 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Rays have recorded 801 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,764 putouts this season.

During his pro baseball career, Alexander has given up 431 base knocks while he has tallied 325 K's in 400 frames. He has allowed 205 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.294 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.74 and he has gone up against 1,705 hitters in his MLB career. Alexander (14-26 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.61 ERA while allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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