Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Thursday, September 12, 2024

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+117) St. Louis (-140)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (72-72) will go up against the Cincinnati Reds (71-75) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +117 while St. Louis is at -140. The betting total is set at O8.0. The starting pitchers will be Jakob Junis and Sonny Gray.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 15th in the league. They have racked up 645 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .306. The Reds have compiled 239 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 164 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 612 RBI's in addition to 1,119 hits for the year, and their batting average is .233. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 1,328 times, while being walked on 448 occasions.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.05 on the campaign (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,244 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 172 home runs in addition to 624 runs (14th in baseball). They have walked 441 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.20 as a squad this season. Cincinnati has yielded 1,166 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Reds pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 131 times as well as having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 76 holds this season (14th in baseball). The Reds bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 70.2% and has entered the game in 126 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 of their 47 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 203 runners for the season and 29.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 482 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Reds have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,610 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 3,870 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,107 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them sitting 27th in pro baseball, and have a total of 91 double plays.

Junis has taken the hill for 764 innings and has totaled 701 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.52 (384 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.309. He has surrendered 803 base knocks (9.5 hits per 9 innings) with 197 walks. Junis (42-45 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.46 while he has gone up against 3,275 hitters in the major leagues.

St. Louis has knocked in 147 long balls on the year and 562 runs batted in. They have hit 222 doubles, while taking a walk 419 times as well as putting up 592 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have a team OBP of .310 and a team batting average of .247 this year. The Cardinals have a SLG% of .388 and they have an average of 4.11 runs per contest (24th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,181 instances (20th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,207 base knocks.

The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 658 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.17 (595 earned runs yielded). They have given up 160 long balls and they surrender 4.61 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.272 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (1,163 strikeouts against 416 free passes). They sit at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,217.

With 165 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 92 holds and 25 blown saves. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 73 save opportunities and they have tallied 48 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 162 times in high leverage situations in addition to 149 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.6% out of 205 inherited runners. They sit at 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 65.8%, and they have sent 457 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 134 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (4th in the majors). The Cardinals have racked up 1,349 assists, 66 errors and have accounted for 3,854 putouts on the campaign. In 11,562 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in the majors).

Gray (110-94 career mark) is the owner of a 3.51 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.94 and he has faced 7,151 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 672 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.194 and a FIP of 3.5. During his pro baseball career, Gray has allowed 1,479 hits while he has totaled 1,707 strikeouts in 1,725 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-140)

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