Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, September 11, 2024

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+111) St. Louis (-133)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (72-71) will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (70-75) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +111 and St. Louis is at -133. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jakob Junis and Lance Lynn.

The Reds have tallied 238 doubles as a squad and have smacked 164 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .396 and have been called out on strikes 1,318 times, while being walked on 442 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which is 15th in the league. They have amassed 609 runs batted in in addition to 1,112 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .233. They have earned 642 runs while holding a team OBP of .306.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.81 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Reds pitchers have given up 172 home runs in addition to 624 runs in total (14th in baseball). Cincinnati has surrendered 1,158 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.08 on the campaign (16th in the league), and they have struck out 1,235 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 439 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.22 as a unit for the year.

The Reds relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 69.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 122 save situations. The relievers have inherited 203 runners over the course of the season and 29.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Reds pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 131 times in addition to having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 478 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have racked up 73 holds on the year (15th in the league). They have compiled 32 saves this season and have missed out on 14 out of their 46 save opportunities.

The Reds have turned 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,529 innings, which has them ranked 15th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,843 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,096 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 90 double plays.

Junis has taken the mound for 764 innings and has earned 701 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Junis (42-45 career record) holds a FIP of 4.46 and he has gone up against 3,275 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.52 (384 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.309. He has allowed 803 base knocks (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 197 walks.

St. Louis has recorded 147 HRs over the course of the season and 562 RBIs. They have recorded 221 two-baggers, while taking a walk 417 times and scoring 592 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a team batting average of .247 this year. The Cardinals hold a slugging % of .389 and they are earning 4.14 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,172 occasions (20th in MLB) and have a total of 1,199 hits.

The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.270 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10 (1,153 strikeouts against 410 free passes). They come in at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,209. They have allowed 160 dingers and they surrender 4.62 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 655 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.18 (592 earned runs surrendered).

St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 73 save opportunities and they have walked away with 48 saves. They rank 11th in the league with a save rate of 65.8%, and they have sent 454 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 162 times in high leverage situations in addition to 148 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.0% of 203 inherited base runners. Sitting with 165 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 92 holds in addition to 25 blown saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 134 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 1,338 assists, 67 errors and have amassed 3,827 putouts during this campaign. In 11,481 innings played, the Cardinals hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Lynn has conceded 1,847 base knocks while accumulating 2,003 strikeouts in 1,994 innings pitched. Lynn (142-99 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.76 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 832 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.278 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.86 and he has faced 8,476 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+111)

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