Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+140) St. Louis (-168)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (42-39) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (38-44) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +140 while St. Louis is opening at -168. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Hunter Greene and Lance Lynn.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .377 and have struck out 726 times, while drawing a walk on 257 occasions. They have tallied 328 runs batted in as well as 611 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .229. The Reds have tallied 127 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 79 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 349 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 16th in MLB.

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The Reds have a team ERA of 3.89 this season (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 686 batters. Reds pitchers have relinquished 84 home runs and also 337 total runs (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 254 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.02 as a squad on the year. Cincinnati has yielded 644 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 312 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 79.2% and has come into the game in 72 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 103 base runners on the year with 27.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 66 times in addition to having 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 258 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have notched 47 holds so far this season (13th in baseball). They have earned 19 saves on the year and have not converted 5 of their 24 save opportunities.

The Reds have turned 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,504 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 2,168 putouts on the campaign, as well as 625 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 25th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 45 double plays.

Greene has thrown 329 innings and has racked up 419 K's in his pro baseball career. Greene (14-23 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.33 while he has gone up against 1,418 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.40 (161 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.272. He has conceded 284 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 135 free passes.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a team OBP of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .239 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 683 occasions (14th in the league) and have earned 649 base hits. St. Louis has compiled 78 home runs so far this season as well as 302 runs batted in. The Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .378 and they are scoring 3.98 runs per contest (26th in MLB). They have recorded 121 two-baggers, while taking a walk 241 times as well as scoring 322 runs.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.257 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a staff this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (668 strikeouts vs 239 free passes). They come in at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 666. They have relinquished 83 home runs and they allow 4.49 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have yielded 359 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.94 (315 earned runs yielded).

St. Louis relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.2% out of their 113 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 94 times in high leverage situations in addition to 81 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 110 save situations, the Cardinals have recorded 67 holds and also 11 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 260 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 43 save chances and they have recorded 32 saves.

In 6,480 innings played, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in the majors). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 80 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 738 assists, 44 errors and have amassed 2,160 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Lynn has given up 1,824 base hits while he has earned 1,984 punch outs in 1,969 frames. Lynn (139-98 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.74 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 819 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.88 and he has faced 8,368 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+140)

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