Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, June 28, 2024

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Busch Stadium is the location where the St. Louis Cardinals (41-38) will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (37-43) on Friday. The expected starting pitchers will be Frankie Montas and Andre Pallante.

The Reds have earned 120 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 78 balls out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .375 and have been called out on strikes 712 times, while drawing a walk on 251 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.2 runs/g, which has them at 17th in the league. They have accounted for 317 runs batted in as well as 591 hits for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .228. They have racked up 338 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Reds have an earned run average of 3.92 on the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 676 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 83 home runs in addition to 332 runs in total (11th in MLB). They have walked 245 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a team over the course of the season. Cincinnati has relinquished 633 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 307 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 79.2% and has entered the game in 72 save situations. The relievers have inherited 103 base runners on the year and 27.2% of those players crossed home plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 66 times and also have had 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 254 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds for the season (12th in baseball). They have accumulated 19 saves on the year and have not converted 5 of 24 chances to save the game.

The Reds have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,351 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,117 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 608 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which is 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 44 double plays.

Montas has taken the hill for 659 frames and has accumulated 665 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.96 (290 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.301. He has given up 634 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 224 free passes. Montas (40-40 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.90 and he has faced 2,813 batters during his time in the major leagues.

St. Louis has hit 77 long balls so far this season as well as 297 RBIs. They have recorded 118 two-baggers, while walking 232 times as well as putting up 317 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated an OBP of .306 in addition to a batting average of .240 this season. The Cardinals have a team slugging % of .378 and they average 4.01 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have been rung up on 673 occasions (13th in baseball) and have earned 637 hits.

The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.254 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (654 strikeouts vs 234 bases on balls). They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 646. They have conceded 82 homers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 348 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.91 (305 earned runs yielded).

St. Louis has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves. They sit at 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 73.8%, and they have dispatched 253 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 90 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on. St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.3% out of their 107 inherited base runners. With 106 save situations, the Cardinals have 64 holds and also 11 blown saves.

In 6,318 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 78 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Cardinals have racked up 719 assists, 44 errors and have a total of 2,106 putouts so far this year.

Pallante (13-9 career record) has a 4.02 earned run average while allowing 9.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.67 and he has faced 905 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 93 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.499 and a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Pallante has allowed 227 base knocks while totaling 142 strikeouts in 208 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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