Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+132) San Francisco (-156)

Oracle Park is the location where the San Francisco Giants (17-22) will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (16-21) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +132 and San Francisco is coming in at -156. The total comes in at 7. The men taking the mound will be Nick Lodolo and Mason Black.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which is 17th in the league. They are sitting with 161 runs scored while having a team OBP of .290. The Reds have tallied 55 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 35 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 150 RBI's in addition to 251 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is .211. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .355 and have been called out on strikes 350 times, while being walked on 123 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Reds pitchers have conceded 41 long balls in addition to 163 total runs (17th in baseball). Cincinnati has surrendered 294 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 147 earned runs. The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.06 on the campaign (18th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 329 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 122 hitters and their FIP is 4.09 as a unit this year.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 30 times and also have had 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 17 holds for the season (24th in the league). The Reds relievers have a save rate of 75.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 25 save situations. They have earned 6 saves this season and have missed out on 2 of their 8 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 55 base runners on the year with 23.6% of them crossed home plate. The Reds have dispatched 113 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 978 putouts for the season, in addition to 255 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 20 double plays. The Reds have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,934 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 16th in baseball.

Lodolo (137-95 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.81 while facing 8,167 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,777 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 676 walks. His earned run average is 3.73 (797 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.275. Lodolo has thrown 1,924 innings and is sitting with 1,939 strikeouts in his career.

The Giants have a SLG% of .369 and they average 3.74 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have 53 doubles, while taking a walk 117 times and putting up 146 runs. San Francisco has tallied 34 home runs so far this season as well as 138 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 316 occasions (17th in MLB) and have a total of 309 hits. The San Francisco Giants have recorded a team OBP of .307 as well as a team batting average of .240 on the campaign.

The San Francisco pitching staff have allowed 188 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.65 (174 earned runs given up). They have yielded 34 home runs and they surrender 5.02 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Giants hold a team WHIP of 1.359 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.10 (305 strikeouts against 118 walks). They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 340.

With 25 save situations, the Giants have recorded 16 holds and 3 blown saves. San Francisco has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 9 save chances and they have earned 6 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 28 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with runners on. San Francisco bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 48.8% of 43 inherited runners. They rank 17th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 125 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The San Francisco Giants have gotten 39 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (16th in the majors). The Giants have 416 assists, 23 errors and have earned 1,011 putouts so far this year. In their 3,033 innings on the diamond, the Giants have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (28th in baseball).

So far in his career, Black has conceded 1,537 base knocks while totaling 1,599 strikeouts in 1,571 frames. Black (109-95 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.08 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 712 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.68 and he has faced 6,563 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Francisco (-156)

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