Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+122) San Diego (-145)

The San Diego Padres (14-18) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (16-13) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at +122 while San Diego is opening at -145. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Graham Ashcraft and Joe Musgrove.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 8th in the league. They have accounted for 144 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. The Reds have accounted for 47 doubles as a unit and have smacked 29 baseballs out of the park. They have 133 runs batted in in addition to 207 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .220. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .375 and have been called out on strikes 285 times, while taking a walk on 106 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have yielded 30 home runs and 120 total runs (12th in MLB). Cincinnati has surrendered 224 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 109 earned runs. The Reds have a team earned run average of 3.83 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 257 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 93 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.96 as a unit so far this season.

The Reds have dispatched 87 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 runners so far this season and 15.9% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 6 saves so far this year and have missed out on 2 of 8 chances to get a save. The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 25 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 17 holds for the season (12th in the league). Reds pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 24 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs in their 2,304 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 12th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 768 putouts this season, as well as 202 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which has them sitting 13th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 15 double plays.

Ashcraft has taken the ball for 655 innings and is sitting with 455 strikeouts so far in his career. Ashcraft (27-39 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.90 while going up against 2,835 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.36 (317 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.389. He has allowed 679 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 231 free passes.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with an on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a batting average of .250 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 243 occasions (16th in the league) and are sitting with 267 hits. San Diego has hit 33 home runs this year as well as 144 runs batted in. The Padres hold a team SLG% of .396 and they earn 4.72 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have 46 doubles, while taking a walk 108 times as well as racking up 151 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 157 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.37 (138 earned runs allowed). They have given up 38 HR's and they allow 4.97 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Padres have a WHIP of 1.309 and have a FIP of 4.39 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (262 strikeouts against 110 free passes). They are currently ranked 27th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 262.

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 12 save opportunities and they have walked away with 9 saves. They rank 6th in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 108 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and on 40 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 39.0% out of their 59 inherited runners. With 27 save situations, the Padres have 14 holds and 3 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 26 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in MLB). The Padres have recorded 269 assists, 19 errors and are sitting with 853 putouts so far this season. Out of their 2,559 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (13th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Musgrove has surrendered 99 base knocks while totaling 78 strikeouts in 104 innings pitched. Musgrove (9-9 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.30 earned run average and has conceded 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 50 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.242 and having a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and he has faced 433 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-145)

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