Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-138) Pittsburgh (+118)

The Cincinnati Reds (34-37) are headed to PNC Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-37). The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at -138 while Pittsburgh is at +118. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Hunter Greene and Mitch Keller.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 16th in MLB. They have earned a total of 307 runs scored and hold an OBP of .306. The Reds have accumulated 103 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 71 balls out of the park. They have tallied 289 RBI's in addition to 527 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .226. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .373 and have struck out 652 times, while drawing a walk on 236 occasions.

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The Reds have a team ERA of 3.87 so far this season (14th in MLB), and they have rung up 599 hitters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 71 home runs in addition to 297 runs (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 227 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a team for the season. Cincinnati has given up 571 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 273 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.64 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 81.0% and stepped onto the hill in 64 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 95 runners so far this year and 25.3% of those players ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 60 times and also have had 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 229 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 42 holds this season (12th in baseball). They have earned 17 saves for the season and have missed out on 4 of their 21 save chances.

The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 1,904 putouts so far this season, as well as 545 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which is 26th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 41 double plays. The Reds have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,712 innings, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB.

Greene (14-22 career record) has a FIP of 4.30 while he has gone up against 1,374 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 275 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 133 walks. His ERA is 4.37 (155 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. Greene has taken the mound for 319 innings and has accounted for 405 K's in his MLB career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for an OBP of .301 and a team batting average of .233 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 687 occasions (4th in the league) and have earned 572 hits. Pittsburgh has hit 66 home runs on the season to go along with 286 runs batted in. The Pirates have a SLG% of .363 and they score 4.12 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have put up 106 two-baggers, while getting a free base 232 times and notching 297 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.284 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They rank 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 607. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 322 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.99 (286 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (615 strikeouts against 221 bases on balls). They have surrendered 77 dingers and they give up 4.49 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 228 relievers onto the field so far this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 90 times in high leverage situations in addition to 66 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.3% out of 99 inherited runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Pirates have earned 38 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 53 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in MLB). The Pirates have accrued 606 assists, 41 errors and have accounted for 1,936 putouts this season. Out of their 5,808 innings played, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Keller has given up 646 hits while he has tallied 599 K's in 608 innings pitched. Keller (33-42 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.53 ERA and has given up 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 306 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.423 and a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and he has gone up against 2,661 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+118)

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