Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, April 1, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72 last season) will attempt to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (82-80 last year) on Monday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Andrew Abbott and Cristopher Sanchez.

The Reds tallied 268 two-baggers as a team and hit 198 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati had a slugging percentage of .420 and struck out 1,500 times, while drawing a walk on 556 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds scored 4.8 runs per game, which had them sitting at 9th in the league. They compiled 747 runs batted in as well as 1,371 base knocks over the course of the prior season, while their team batting average was .249. They earned 783 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .327.

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They had a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.42. Reds pitchers yielded 222 long balls and 821 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Cincinnati conceded 1,426 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 772 earned runs. The Reds compiled a team earned run average of 4.83 in the previous season (25th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,381 batters. Their pitching staff walked 613 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 4.79 as a unit for the prior year.

Reds pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on base 223 times in addition to having 241 outings in high leverage situations. The bullpen recorded 90 holds for the prior year (10th in the league). The Reds bullpen accumulated a save rate of 67.1% and entered the game in 175 save situations. They earned 53 saves in the previous season and blew 26 of their 79 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 327 base runners during the previous year and 30.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Reds had sent 605 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season.

The Cincinnati Reds had 4,318 putouts last year, as well as 1,283 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .984 which was 22nd in professional baseball, and earned 125 double plays. The Reds turned 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,954 innings, which had them ranked 20th in baseball.

Abbott (8-6 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.20 while facing 459 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 100 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 44 free passes. His earned run average is 3.87 (47 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.317. Abbott has taken the ball for 109 innings and has totaled 120 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Philadelphia Phillies tallied an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a batting average of .256 for the previous season. They struck out on 1,481 instances (8th in the league) and earned a total of 1,417 hits. Philadelphia had a total of 220 HRs during the previous year in addition to 771 RBIs. The Phillies had a team slugging % of .438 and they were earning 4.91 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They hit 291 doubles, while getting a free base 539 times as well as racking up 796 runs.

The Phillies finished with a team WHIP of 1.239 and had a FIP of 4.00 as a staff last year. They were ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,317. The Philadelphia pitching staff given up 715 runs in the prior season while holding an ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs surrendered). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 walks). They gave up 185 HR's and they yielded 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Philadelphia relievers had an inherited score percentage of 34.1% of 182 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 158 save situations, the Phillies earned 87 holds and 26 blown saves. They were ranked 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.4%, and they dispatched 523 relief pitchers onto the field last season. Philadelphia called on relievers to enter the contest in 71 save opportunities and they came away with 45 saves.

In their 12,981 innings on the diamond, the Phillies accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (13th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies had 117 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). The Phillies recorded 1,385 assists, 92 errors and earned 4,327 putouts for the prior year.

Thus far in his career, Sanchez has given up 142 hits and he has 144 punch outs in 152 innings pitched. Sanchez (6-7 career mark) has a 4.14 ERA and has given up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 70 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.197 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.60 and he has gone up against 632 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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