Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

The Cincinnati Reds (40-45) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they will meet the New York Yankees (54-33). The pitchers who are expected to start will be Frankie Montas and Marcus Stroman.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 17th in MLB. They have accumulated 363 runs while holding a team OBP of .304. The Reds have hit 136 doubles as a team and have smacked 81 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 342 runs batted in in addition to 631 hits this season, while their batting average is sitting at .228. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 752 times, while drawing a walk on 265 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have given up 86 home runs and 347 total runs (10th in the league). Cincinnati has allowed 665 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 321 earned runs. The Reds have an earned run average of 3.86 on the season (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 710 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 260 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.00 as a team on the campaign.

The Reds have dispatched 270 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 runners over the course of the season with 27.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 20 saves for the year and have blown 5 of 25 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 50 holds so far this season (10th in MLB). Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 70 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 2,246 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 640 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball, and they have turned 45 double plays. The Reds have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs in their 6,738 innings, which ranks them 12th in pro baseball.

Montas (40-41 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.88 and he has faced 2,836 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 636 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 227 free passes. His ERA is 3.94 (291 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.297. Montas has taken the ball for 665 innings and has earned 670 strikeouts in his career.

The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .428 and they average 5.07 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have hit 121 doubles, while walking 338 times and putting up 441 runs. New York has a total of 124 long balls on the year to go along with 422 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 700 occasions (16th in the league) and have recorded 725 base knocks. The New York Yankees have compiled an on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a batting average of .250 for the season.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.218 with a FIP of 4.14 as a team this year. They sit at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 652. The New York pitching staff have allowed 340 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.55 (305 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.50 (734 strikeouts vs 291 walks). They have yielded 91 dingers and they relinquish 3.95 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 35 save chances and they have walked away with 25 saves. They sit at 6th in baseball with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 269 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 78 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.3% out of 156 inherited base runners. With 77 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 40 holds and also 10 blown saves.

In 6,972 innings on the field, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 65 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Yankees have recorded 702 assists, 49 errors and have 2,324 putouts so far this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Stroman has conceded 1,337 hits while totaling 1,161 strikeouts in 1,398 frames. He has conceded a total of 564 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.256 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 5,826 hitters so far in his career. Stroman (84-79 career record) has a 3.63 ERA and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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