Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 7, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The Cincinnati Reds (67-73) are on their way to Citi Field on Saturday where they will take on the New York Mets (76-64). The pitchers who are expected to start are Jakob Junis and Sean Manaea.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in MLB. They have notched a total of 633 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .308. The Reds have compiled 234 doubles as a unit and have hit 161 balls out of the park. They have recorded 602 runs batted in and 1,083 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is .234. Cincinnati is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,261 times, while drawing a walk on 432 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Reds pitchers have conceded 169 long balls and 613 total runs (15th in MLB). Cincinnati has conceded 1,133 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 572 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.16 on the campaign (17th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,195 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 426 batters and their FIP is 4.26 as a squad so far this season.

The Reds bullpen have recorded a save rate of 67.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 118 save situations. The relievers have inherited 195 base runners on the campaign and 28.7% of those players ended up scoring. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 125 times in addition to having 129 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 461 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have earned 72 holds this season (14th in the league). They have earned 29 saves this year and have missed out on 14 of 43 save chances.

The Reds have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,133 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 3,711 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,067 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which puts them in 29th in baseball, and they have turned 87 double plays.

Junis has taken the ball for 759 innings and has 696 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.55 (384 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.315. He has given up 802 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 196 free passes. Junis (42-45 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.48 while facing 3,258 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Mets have a team SLG% of .420 and they score 4.79 runs per game (7th in the league). They have put up 256 doubles, while taking a walk 447 times and scoring 670 runs. New York has 179 HRs this season and 642 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,200 occasions (13th in baseball) and have 1,192 base hits. The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .249 so far this year.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 616 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.02 (558 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 149 home runs and they relinquish 4.44 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.285 in addition to having a FIP of 4.21 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,238 strikeouts vs 522 free passes). They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,082.

New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 57 save chances and they have converted 35 saves. They sit at 22nd in the league holding a save rate of 61.4%, and they have sent 447 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 135 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% out of their 182 inherited runners. With 150 save situations, the Mets have 92 holds and also 22 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (25th in the majors). The Mets have racked up 1,224 assists, 85 errors and have a tally of 3,746 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 11,238 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Manaea has conceded 1,068 hits while totaling 1,079 strikeouts in 1,152 frames. Manaea (76-61 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.01 ERA while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 513 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.210 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 and he has gone up against 4,812 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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