Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

The Cleveland Guardians (90-67) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (76-81) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Julian Aguiar and Joey Cantillo.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, which is 14th in baseball. They have a total of 693 runs scored and have an OBP of .307. The Reds have accounted for 253 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 174 balls out of the park. They have 659 RBI's as well as 1,204 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .233. Cincinnati is slugging .394 and have struck out 1,429 times, while being walked on 484 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Reds pitchers have allowed 192 home runs and 679 total runs (17th in baseball). Cincinnati has relinquished 1,268 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 634 earned runs. The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.12 on the season (19th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,346 batters. They have walked 471 hitters and their FIP is 4.25 as a squad so far this season.

The Reds bullpen have compiled a save rate of 70.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 131 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 220 base runners for the season with 30.5% of them crossed home plate. Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 141 times in addition to having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 518 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have racked up 78 holds over the course of the season (19th in the league). They have recorded 35 saves on the season and have blown 15 of their 50 chances to save the game.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned 4,158 putouts this year, in addition to 1,171 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which ranks 27th in the majors, and have 98 double plays. The Reds have transformed 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,474 innings, ranking them 15th in professional baseball.

Aguiar (2-1 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 6.25 and he has gone up against 140 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 30 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 12 free passes. His ERA is 6.35 (22 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.346. Aguiar has taken the mound for 31 frames and has tallied 19 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated a team OBP of .308 in addition to a team batting average of .238 this season. They have struck out on 1,163 occasions (27th in MLB) and have recorded 1,233 base hits. Cleveland has tallied 180 long balls on the season as well as 654 runs batted in. The Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .394 and they are earning 4.41 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have put up 237 doubles, while taking a walk 456 times and putting up 692 runs.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.200 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,373 strikeouts against 478 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,192. They have surrendered 177 homers and they surrender 3.94 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 609 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.64 (563 earned runs surrendered).

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 67 save chances and they have tallied 52 saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball with a save percentage of 77.6%, and they have sent 576 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 197 times in high leverage situations in addition to 167 occasions with base runners. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.3% out of their 232 inherited base runners. Sitting with 188 save situations, the Guardians have accrued 119 holds and also 15 blown saves.

In their 12,528 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (2nd in pro baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 124 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (15th in pro baseball). The Guardians have 1,342 assists, 82 errors and have 4,176 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Cantillo has conceded 29 hits while he has accumulated 37 K's in 35 frames. Cantillo (2-3 record in his career) holds a 4.63 earned run average and has given up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 18 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and he has gone up against 143 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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