Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Wrigley Field is the location where the Chicago Cubs (81-78) will play the Cincinnati Reds (76-83) on Saturday. The men taking the mound will be Rhett Lowder and Kyle Hendricks.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .392 and have struck out 1,445 times, while taking a walk on 488 occasions. They have amassed 660 runs batted in in addition to 1,214 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .232. The Reds have hit 256 doubles as a team and have knocked 174 balls out of the park. They have earned 696 runs while having a team OBP of .306. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in MLB.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Reds pitchers have surrendered 196 home runs and also 690 total runs (17th in baseball). Cincinnati has allowed 1,286 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 645 earned runs. The Reds have an earned run average of 4.14 for the season (19th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,360 hitters. They have walked 475 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.26 as a squad over the course of the season.

Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 141 times in addition to having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 78 holds so far this season (21st in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 70.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 131 save situations. They have recorded 35 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of their 50 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 220 base runners this year with 30.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have sent 525 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned 4,206 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,189 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which puts them in 27th in MLB, and they have turned 99 double plays. The Reds have turned 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,618 innings, which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball.

Lowder has thrown 25 innings and has accounted for 21 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 1.43 (4 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.310. He has conceded 22 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 11 free passes. Lowder (2-2 career mark) holds a FIP of 1.41 and he has gone up against 107 batters in the major leagues.

The Chicago Cubs have an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a batting average of .243 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,352 occasions (15th in baseball) and have 1,302 base hits. Chicago has compiled 170 HRs this season to go along with 692 RBIs. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .396 and they average 4.60 runs per game (11th in the league). They have tallied 251 doubles, while taking a walk 534 times as well as scoring 732 runs.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.256 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,334 strikeouts against 477 walks). They come in at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,286. They have relinquished 181 home runs and they allow 4.27 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 666 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.84 (599 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 142 save situations, the Cubs have earned 79 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 62 save chances and they have converted 36 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 165 times in high leverage situations and on 138 occasions with runners on base. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.2% of 214 inherited base runners. They are ranked 26th in the league holding a save percentage of 58.1%, and they have sent 487 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year.

In their 12,639 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have turned 89 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (8th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 1,314 assists, 76 errors and have amassed 4,213 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Hendricks has conceded 1,499 base hits while he has tallied 1,257 K's in 1,572 frames. He has given up a total of 647 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.184 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.47 and he has faced 6,492 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Hendricks (97-81 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.70 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago

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